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COVER STORY
How to Add Value to M & ABy Vikram Chakravarty
The guns are booming. Empowered by the New Takeover
Code, and emboldened by the emergence of vulnerable quarries in a troubled economy,
corporate India's corner-room buccaneers have unleashed the country's third M&A Wave.
The new legal framework governing M&A activity has opened the doors to hostile
takeovers, setting out objective guidelines and allowing the predator and the prey to get
on with their attack and defence manoeuvres without the Securities & Exchange Board of
India's having to step in as arbitrator. Simultaneously, the market for corporate control
has exploded, with M&A being accepted as a vital means for corporate restructuring and
redirecting capital towards efficient managements. The on-going slowdown has depressed
share prices to levels where acquisitions have become viable. And the political vaccuum
has created the ideal opportunity to move in for the kill without the government's
intervention. Adding to the ammunition, the financial institutions are signalling, for the
first time ever, that they will no longer protect existing owners of companies from
takeover bids. Thus, despite sharing the aggressive intent behind the first two
waves--dating back to the mid-1980s and the early 1990s, respectively--the third M&A
Wave is also dramatically different in terms of the extent of firepower it has armed both
the battlers with.
| M&A
IS BECOMING EASIER... |
| Corporate restructuring is creating a
market for both acquisition and disposal of business units. Two years of economic slowdown are causing shakeouts in many sectors, forcing
losers to exit.
Share prices are low enough to make acquisitions of large
equity stakes feasible in terms of price.
A formal Takeover Code has laid out the mechanism for both
hostile and negotiated takeovers.
The financial institutions are, for the first time, willing
to help the M&A game by selling their holdings. |
No wonder, then, that in the space of one blistering
fortnight this past month, half-a-dozen M&A battles were initiated. The predator
lurking within the Rs 8,342.75-crore Hindustan Lever resurfaced with the negotiated
acquisition of the Rs 59.11-crore Lakmé from the Rs 35,000-crore Tata Group. A potent
takeover Scud, targetting a 20 per cent stake, was fired at the Rs 1,162.78-crore Indian
Aluminium by the Rs 1,146.72-crore Sterlite Industries. Alarmed by the prospects of
consolidation in the aluminium industry, the Rs 1,457.15-crore Hindalco immediately
launched a broadside against the Rs 162.28-crore Pennar Aluminium, bidding for a 13 per
cent chunk of the company. Simultaneously, acquisitions resurfaced in the pharmaceuticals
sector, with the Rs 400-crore Wockhardt snapping up the Rs 200-crore Merind. And the
troubled cement industry saw a major restructuring bid as the Rs 832.49-crore India
Cements mounted a raid on the Rs 349.64-crore Raasi Cement, aiming to increase its
holdings from 18.03 per cent by another 26.78 per cent.
Loading your cannons to join the wars? Be warned. For, your
acquisition gambit could backfire badly, foisting upon the acquirer myriad problems, as
many of the participants in the M&A mega-binge of corporate US in the 1980s
discovered. For, in their quest for what they fondly imagined as invincible proportions
and market domination, they engendered crippling handicaps for themselves: directionless,
diversified conglomerates instead of sharply-focused corporations. Unanticipated added
costs instead of anticipated economies of scale. Paralysing cultural mismatch instead of
energy-enhancing managerial synergy.
Of course, these are not inevitable outcomes of M&A. On
the contrary, the benefits of a successful acquisition are powerful, offering as they do
dominant marketshares, the strength of sheer size, and unique competitive advantages. But
just how does the attacker know beforehand whether the acquisition he's targeting will be
worth the price he has to pay? The swelling of the M&A wave has created a critical
historical juncture, when this question must be answered if the entire process of
restructuring through acquisitions and sell-outs is to generate real benefits for the
participants. The need for an answer coincides happily with a research project--destined
to culminate in a book--aimed at determining how to optimise the value generated by
M&A moves. As the model it has constructed contends, the key issue is to weave M&A
into your corporate strategy instead of pursuing it opportunistically. In other words, the
acquisition must enable you to achieve the same objectives as you intended to with your
strategies. Only then will your post-acquisition corporation go on to create more value
than that of its parts. BT presents the acquirer's guide to making your M&A work for
you.
Many managers were, apparently, overexposed in
impressionable childhood years to the story in which the imprisoned, handsome prince is
released from the toad's body by a kiss from the beautiful princess. Consequently, they
are certain that the managerial kiss will do wonders for the profitability of the target
company. Such optimism is essential. Absent that rosy view, why else should the
shareholders of Company A want to own an interest in B at a takeover cost that is two
times the market price they'd pay if they made direct purchases on their own? In other
words, investors can always buy toads at the going price for toads. If investors, instead,
bankroll princesses who wish to pay double for the right to kiss the toad, those kisses
better pack some real dynamite. We've observed many kisses, but very few miracles.
Nevertheless, many managerial princesses remain serenely confident about the future
potency of their kisses even after their corporate backyards are knee-deep in unresponsive
toads.
Warren Buffet,
Berkshire Hathaway Annual Report, 1981
Only recently unfettered from the rigid shackles of
government control and exposed to market forces, corporate India will now have to chalk
out and carry through long-term corporate strategies to enhance competitiveness and
sustainability. They will have to index internal ability, and react to changes in their
industries-and in the overall economy-to best avail the opportunities available. With 40
years of over-regulation resulting in deep distortions in the economy, there is an acute
need for business to embark on a pragmatic approach to restructuring. M&A offers an
obvious strategy for correcting the flaws of decades of a command economy. The prime
motives behind employing M&A for restructuring:
- Rectifying the distortions of the past decades of the licence
raj, where growth and diversification were led more by an ability to curry favour with the
bureaucracy than by the virtues of value-creation.
- Consolidation of small and fragmented players.
- The compulsion to become world-size because of the
globalisation of the economy, requiring corporations to focus their efforts on their areas
of core competence, and to form alliances with global players.
The need to take advantage of the relaxation in government policy, which is allowing
companies to take decisions that are based on economic realities.
The use of M&A as corporate strategy raises important
issues. On the positive side, M&A may be critical to the healthy expansion of
businesses as they evolve through successive stages of growth and development. For, both
internal and external growth may be compatible with the long-range evolution of a company.
Successful entry into new geographic and product markets often requires the speed,
accompanied by an existing infrastructural framework, that only M&A can give access
to. For these, as well as other reasons, some economists argue that M&As increase
value through efficiency gains, and move resources to their best users.
Others are more sceptical, however, and claim that M&As
are frequently disruptive, rarely resulting in efficiency gains. At best, they allow a
redistribution of wealth, but generate no real economic benefits. Further, at the macro
level, they affect investment, R&D, and employment-generation adversely, often
bringing financial ruin upon companies. There are innumerable examples of companies that
have been unable to bear the high costs of M&A, and have been forced to close down.
There is, therefore, a real fear that Indian companies will over-react to their new
freedom, and indulge in speculative and harmful M&A.
Since there is little scope for companies to learn from
experience as M&A is a sporadic and time-consuming process, how, then, can they tell
the toads from the princes as they adopt M&A as their chosen means for restructuring?
Importantly, how does a predator determine whether or not a planned acquisition will prove
beneficial?
The solution: identify possible ways of improving future
gains by carefully selecting the type of mergers, the target company, the anticipated
efficiencies, and a management strategy that will maximise potential synergy. This method
will allow managers to practise a more realistic pricing policy, counter assimilation
problems, and benchmark synergy expectations-all of which will, ultimately, lead to more
value-creating M&A.
Value Creation As The Ultimate Objective Of M&A
The management challenge for any corporation is to optimise
the allocation of scarce and expensive resources such as capital, labour, research,
training, and time in order to increase productivity. This, in turn, will boost value. The
CEO usually has several options, and must assess the viability of each route given the
expected increase in value it can provide. As there is great uncertainty about the success
of each strategy so far as long-term profitability is concerned, even well-intentioned
moves do not often improve shareholder value. As with any form of restructuring, M&A
too should be placed within the framework of long-range strategic planning.
Thus, the objective of buying or selling business units, and
bringing in accompanying changes in management, should only be undertaken if M&A will
yield value to the respective companies. The rule of thumb: ascertain whether there is
likely to be any economic gain from the merger. Post-M&A economic gain, or synergy,
will be generated only if the two companies are worth more together than apart. Here, the
Discounted Cash Flows (DCF) capture all additional future value. The basic motive of
M&A can then be understood as an attempt to create value. The equation:
Synergy = Combined Value Of
Post-M&A
A&B minus (Value Of Company A plus Value Of Company B)
Only if the synergy is positive will there be an economic
justification for the merger.
It must also be remembered that there are several costs to an
M&A manoeuvre: the price, the opportunity the cost of the acquisition, and softer
issues such as culture clashes, integration friction et al, all of which lead to a price
having to be paid by the companies coming together. While it isn't easy to factor these
in, the attempt should be to make a realistic assumption about such costs. Using these
calculations, the acquirer can then work out what his real cost of acquisition is.
Premium = Price Over Market Value plus
Other Costs Of Integration
The next step: computing the actual value derived from the
acquisition.
Net Value Gain = Synergy minus Premium
From this simple analysis, it is clear that mergers will fail
if the expected synergy does not exceed the premium paid, thereby creating no value for
the bidder. However, many companies do not realise that they need to work specifically
towards achieving these synergies. It is, in fact, possible to boost the synergy--by
carefully selecting the type of merger, the target, and an optimum management strategy.
Thus, the acquirer should not only have a clear understanding of its motivation for the
M&A move, but must also link a management strategy to the motivation for the
acquisition. This will help CEOs improve their understanding of the correlation between
strategy and value-creation, enabling them to index the possible gains from M&A,
ensure realistic pricing, anticipate and counter problems, have realistic expectations,
and, ultimately, judge the impact on value.
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