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Computers Today, September, 2001


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Dotcom Survival Guide

The war for online revenue has left dotcoms battered and bruised. Or dead. But a few have been doing things right. A look at the success stories, and the rules of engagement we can learn from them.

By K. Jayadev and R. Srinivas

The trouble with global economic downturns: they divert attention from specifics. That's why it has been easy to make sweeping generalisations about the failure of the dotcom as commercial entity. We think otherwise. Lets say e-myths are like any other myth; it can be profitable to strip them away.

Dotcoms went belly-up because too many ignored the rules that have always determined commercial success. Far too many "commercial" enterprises set out with little or no idea of (i) who their customers would be; (ii) how they intended to make money from them, or; (iii) how to retain these paying customers profitably.

Avnish Bajaj & Suvir Bajaj
Founders, bazee.com

This auction site lets you buy or sell a range of products. Revenue is not from ads, it is from fees for listing buyers and sellers on the site; cyberlaw complexity keeps it out of the actual transactions. It successfully applies B2B and C2C models; Bajaj claims, "Rs 10 crore worth of trading on the side.

The current failure rate is currently higher than industry's average of about 85 per cent, because the lure of easy money allied with a poor understanding of what made commercial sense on the Net and what didn't brought in an unusually large number of ill-equipped entrants. "A lot of dotcoms lacked sustainable business models, and didn't pay attention to business fundamentals," says Microland CEO Pradip Kar.

But over time we will probably see the dotcom business success rate settling at around 15 per cent. Just like any other business, there are rules to follow that dramatically improve your chances of being within that 15 per cent. Presenting the Computers Today guide to dotcom survival:

Have customers

No customers, no earnings, no business. Can it possibly be more obvious than that? Yet despite all the talk about creating communities, how many dotcoms actually provided customers with value? In a report, Web site CreativeGood.com, estimated the revenue loss to dotcoms through poor customer experience at $19 billion in 2000.

With customers you have to:

  • Attract them with a product or service offering that is genuinely useful and demonstrably different. As Deepak Chandnani, country head of Yahoo! India, says, "Internet businesses need to offer a product or service that is useful, reliable and unique."
  • Retain them with quality service and a demonstrable respect for their time that does not assume they have hours to waste on the Net.
  • Take customer feedback seriously. IPFOnline director E.N. Venkat adds: "Don't slip into traditional corporate arrogance; listen to what customers say about you."

Says paisapower.com CEO P. Austin, "Customers are your most valuable resource; they provide revenues, word-of-mouth publicity for your site, and feedback that helps you improve continually. You can't afford to lose them."

5 things to satisfy your VC about

1 Loser projects still get funding occasionally, but in general good money has a greater likelihood of meeting good projects than before. That's at least partly due to the battle scars of a wiser bunch of VCs.
2 Market size, market segment and growth of that market segment. Investing in very niche verticals is always dangerous-if the market size is itself small, it will be much harder for a company to achieve critical mass.
3 Is there competition? What's your market positioning with regard to it?
4 What sustainable advantages can the team and the company offer? Can the management build and maintain fresh sustainable advantages?
5 Going forward, how much can the business be scaled up?

Projected financials and the project's attractiveness in terms of profitability (margins) and growth. Scalability leading to larger margins would be a key focus area.

Courtesy: Infinity Venture Fund

Possess a plan

You ain't goin' nowhere without a business plan. And it isn't just about funding; says Satyam Infoway CEO R. Ramraj, "Companies have been failing because their business model consisted only of getting to the next round of funding."

There are a number of models you can follow. The choice would depend on the nature of your business and your resources. The critical thing to remember is that as a dotcom, your business model must harness the strengths of the Web (for instance, it's the cheapest way to get a lot of people together to trade), while sidestepping its weaknesses (its anonymity can be a major credibility trap, for example). Yes, lots of very bright people forgot these things. Here's the low-down on the major dotcom models:

Brokerage model: Brokers bring buyers and sellers together and facilitate online transactions. The major models include:

  • Buy/sell fulfilment: An online financial brokerage where customers place buy and sell orders to transact financial instruments, for example icicidirect.com.
  • Market exchange: An increasingly common B2B model; esteel.com is a good example.
  • Buyer aggregator: Brings together individual purchasers from across the Internet to transact as a group. This allows them to bargain prices down to levels traditionally enjoyed by big organisations that purchase in volumes. A good example is buyasone.com.
  • Virtual mall: A site that hosts many online merchants, like Yahoo! Stores.
  • Auction broker: They accumulate prospective buyers and conduct auctions for individual and merchant sellers, like bazee.com.
  • Classifieds: Offer a listings of products or services, like naukri.com

Contd...

 

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