











|

BJP's Early Surge
Continued
| BJP
28 |
| Congress
28 |
| CPI (M)
4 |
| BSP
3 |
| JD
3 |
Muslim: Congress 36, SP 13, JD 7, BJP 6
Rural: Congress 28, BJP 26, CPI(M) 5, JD 4
Lower Caste: Congress 28, BJP 24, CPI(M) 4 Upper Caste: BJP
43, Congress 22, CPI(M) 3 |

POLL FINDINGS
- Stability has emerged as the major concern, above corruption, law and order, and
Ayodhya.
- Voter turnout is likely to be much higher than in the 1996 election.
- Voter certitude is high, with only 10 per cent being undecided.
- BJP alliance is poised to increase its votes dramatically in south and east, but this
may not yield many extra seats.
- Congress alliance may increase vote share nominally, but its seat gains may be limited.
- More Congress supporters prefer Vajpayee as prime minister than Kesri.
- Voters are equally divided on the DMK's responsibility in Rajiv Gandhi's assassination.
- Congress remains the most favoured party among Muslims, but it has not recovered from
the Ayodhya loss.
 
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