January 5, 1998  
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Politics
BJP's Early Surge

Continued
BJP                                                28
Congress                                       28
CPI (M)                                           4
BSP                                                  3
JD                                                    3
Muslim: Congress 36, SP 13, JD 7, BJP 6
Rural: Congress 28, BJP 26, CPI(M) 5, JD 4
Lower Caste: Congress 28, BJP 24, CPI(M) 4 Upper Caste: BJP 43, Congress 22, CPI(M) 3

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POLL FINDINGS

  • Stability has emerged as the major concern, above corruption, law and order, and Ayodhya.
  • Voter turnout is likely to be much higher than in the 1996 election.
  • Voter certitude is high, with only 10 per cent being undecided.
  • BJP alliance is poised to increase its votes dramatically in south and east, but this may not yield many extra seats.
  • Congress alliance may increase vote share nominally, but its seat gains may be limited.
  • More Congress supporters prefer Vajpayee as prime minister than Kesri.
  • Voters are equally divided on the DMK's responsibility in Rajiv Gandhi's assassination.
  • Congress remains the most favoured party among Muslims, but it has not recovered from the Ayodhya loss.

I K GujralM C Jain

 

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