ARMS DEALS
The Ghost of BoforsThe scandal's
baleful effect has starved the armed forces of worth Rs 25,000 crore as wary
bureaucrats dither on decisions.
By Manoj
Joshi
There is a spectre hanging over the
defence-procurement process of the country-a spectre called "Bofors". Ever since
the bribes scandal surrounding the Rs 1,500 crore deal broke and poisoned the Rajiv Gandhi
administration, the modernisation plans of the armed forces have ground to a virtual halt.
Defence Minister George Fernandes, who now confronts a cumulative armed forces
requirement-the shortlist runs to Rs 25,000 crore-agrees that there is a "gap between
needs and availability" and concedes that "Bofors has left attitudinal
problems" within the Ministry of Defence (MOD). In other words, the scandal still
haunts the ministry.
From the day the issue
exploded 12 years ago, all the three services have been hit and the country's preparedness
seriously affected. After getting 400 Bofors guns, the deal entered a phantom zone and
some thousand more towed and self-propelled guns needed to provide firepower for the army
have yet to come through. The advanced jet trainer (AJT) to teach rookie pilots to fly
fighters entered a time warp where it is still stuck, 14 years after the Indian Air Force
(IAF) began its search. The army's plans to replace the ageing Vijayanta tanks and acquire
dozens of newer weapons and systems such as battlefield surveillance radars and modern air
defence missiles remain halted on their tracks. The navy, affected by an associated
scandal relating to payment of commissions for the acquisition of four HDW Class 209
submarines, has not been able to go ahead with its submarine-construction project and
effectively utilise the facilities it had constructed at great cost at Mumbai's Mazgaon
Docks' east yard.
The 1991 fiscal crisis gave the government an opportunity to
formalise the paralysis in decision-making by scrapping the Eighth Defence Five Year Plan
and thus aborting the armed forces' fourth re-equipment cycle. Expectations were that the
Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) would pick up the slack. But the
DRDO's ambitious projects have turned out to be a damp squib. Akash and Trishul
surface-to-air missiles are yet to complete user trials and even the Arjun Main Battle
Tank has not been able to inspire the confidence of the army. The light combat aircraft
project's future is now clouded by the US sanctions following Pokhran II. Meanwhile, the
services are taking out insurance policies by shopping for Russian tanks, SAMs, fighters
and other weapons systems.
But the forces' complaint, as a serving service chief puts
it, "is while the money comes in, no decisions are ever made". He readily
accepts that armed forces personnel involved in acquisitions too have been affected by the
Bofors' scare and have played a role in slowing down the procurement process.
Fernandes seems determined to break the
"procedural" bottleneck. In a major decision, he has written to the Finance
Ministry to hand over charge of the revenue element of the armed forces budget to the
respective service chief. This comprises nearly 70-75 per cent of the defence budget and
covers pay and allowances as well as spares, warstores, maintenance of facilities and
repairs and refits. Fernandes has also promised quick decisions on acquisitions such as
the AJT as well as additional capital outlays to the three services, especially the army,
for buying hardware and making up for lost time. As it is, the army is expecting an
additional Rs 600 crore in exchange for reducing its numbers by 50,000 last year. But till
the ghost of Bofors is laid to rest, particularly within the decision-making echelons,
nothing is likely to go forward. Such an unhappy situation will continue to impose costs
on the country. While lack of modernisation affects the combat readiness of the forces,
postponing decisions only raises their eventual cost to the tax-payer.
The one reason why the BJP-led Government is well-positioned
to break this cycle is that neither it nor the other non-Congress parties which formed
governments since 1996 have been charged of taking bribes like the Congress. This not
withstanding the 1996 Su-30MKI deal worth Rs 6,500 crore and a Rs 4,200 crore deal for
ships for the navy signed in 1997 when a non-Congress government ruled at the Centre.
Stray allegations have been made about the purchases but nothing of substance has yet been
established.
Exorcising the demon is not easy since everyone has
contributed to its malevolent visitation-the government that made the unrealistic "no
agent" rule and then violated it, the media that raised dozens of empty scare
stories, the public for its indifference to defence matters and a Parliament that does not
exercise its overseeing role. A study by R.P. Singh for the Stockholm International Peace
Research Institute has suggested that Parliament and government devise ground rules to
balance the needs of confidentiality with the information needed for effective overseeing
and accountability. This could well be like journeying to the moon. But then, every
journey begins with small steps.
What's on Hold
GORSHKOV
Specifications
Year: 1993
Value: Rs 2,100 crore for refit, like sum
for air wing
Number: One
Why we need It
With the de-commissioning of Vikrant in 1997 and the imminent retirement of Viraat,
the navy needs a replacement carrier. While the Government has dilly-dallied with the
project to build one at Kochi, the navy is eyeing the Gorshkov, a relatively young carrier
retired by the Russian Navy.
The Stumbling Block
The ship comes free but refurbishing costs a packet
An mou was signed with the Russians during the visit of Prime Minister Yevgeny Primakov in
December 1998. The carrier comes free. But doing it up could cost more than Rs 2,100
crore. The air wing comprising fighters and helicopters could cost a similar amount. The
Sukhoi and MIG bureaus are in the running for the naval fighter to be used.
What's on Hold
155MM TOWED/SP ARTILLERY
Specifications
Year: 1986
Value: Estimated at Rs 2,500 crore plus
Number: 1,500 (approximately)
Why we need It
Three-part deal: replace the barrels of 750 130mm medium
artillery guns by a 155 mm barrel; make up for the 500 more Bofors guns that never came;
and a self-propelled (SP) 155mm artillery system to give armoured columns the punch they
need.
The Stumbling Block
Upgrade costs the sky while the SP choice not final
Frontrunner for the upgrade is Soaltem, an Israeli company, but at Rs 4.2 crore per gun,
it is too expensive. DRDO's claim to make a 155mm Bofors clone being considered. South
African T6 turret mounted on an Arjun chassis heads the short-list for the SP gun deal but
the British, Russians and Slovaks are also in the race.
What's on Hold
MIRAGE 2000
Specifications
Year: 1997
Value: Rs 1,800 crore but Rs 600 discount
asked for
Number: 10
Why we need It
Forty Mirage 2000s that came in the '80s provide air defence for
Delhi. Plans to manufacture the aircraft in India never took off. The Mirage 2000 is a
good fighter but not in the Su-30s league. With problems in Russia, the deal is seen as an
insurance for the future.
The Stumbling Block
Cabinet approves but price quoted must come down
The Government suspects that some insider information has encouraged the French to hold
out at unacceptable prices. The mod is also examining a proposal for getting 10 more
aircraft which could form an entire new squadron would be useful if Su-30MKI deliveries
are delayed.
What's on Hold
A-50 AWACS AIRCRAFT
Specifications
Year: 1988
Value: Rs 2,520 crore for the aircraft
Number: Four
Why we need It
An aircraft with a radar fitted on its fuselage is a formidable force-multiplier
since it can look far into enemy skies and track aircraft in their bases as well as cruise
missiles in flight. It will synergise the capabilities of fighters like the Su-30MKI.
The Stumbling Block
MOD approval through but political decision needed
The IAF proposal is to acquire the Russian A-50 derived from the Il-76 fitted with Israeli
electronics. The Cabinet will carefully think this through because there will be pressures
from the US on India not to acquire such so-called force-multiplier systems. A DRDO
prototype system ended in a tragic crash last year.
What's on Hold
ADVANCED JET TRAINERS
Specifications
Year: 1983
Value: Rs 900 crore for the aircraft
Number: 66
Why we need It
Report after report has recommended the purchase of the AJT
since pilots have been compelled to train on the MIG 21U, an unforgiving and dangerous
aircraft for rookie combat pilots. A fighter trainer aircraft has weapons systems and
doubles up as a close-support fighter.
The Stumbling Block
The final decision could come 'within months'
Air headquarters is full of smiles even though the Cabinet has yet to give its approval.
Indeed, the IAF has itself yet to evaluate new proposals. With the British Aerospace Hawk
out of the running because of their post-Pokhran embargo, the MIG-at seems to be the
frontrunner. The Czech L159 could emerge as a dark horse. But, as they say, there is many
a slip 'twixt cup and lip.
What's on Hold
S-300 PMU-1 BATTERIES
Specifications
Year: 1995
Value: Rs 6,100 crore. Anti-ballistic
missile configuration costs more
Number: Six
Why we need It
Will replace obsolete surface-to-air missiles. The system can
detect several targets and engage them simultaneously. This is what the drdo's Akash and
Trishul were supposed to do but they have not yet reached user trials.
The Stumbling Block
Officially 'deferred' due to political considerations
Concern over a DRDO proposal to configure the S-300 into an anti-ballistic missile system
using Israeli electronics has stymied the project. That could lead Pakistan to enhance its
ballistic missile force. One report says that two batteries have already arrived. China
has acquired 12 batteries to protect Beijing.
What's on Hold
T-90 TANKS
Specifications
Year: 1996
Value: Estimated at Rs 5,000 crore for the
tanks
Number: 310
Why we need It
The Arjun MBT's problems have compelled the army to seek its '90s main battle tank
from the Russians again. The T-90 has low weight, small size, powerful weapons and high
mobility. It also has a new automated fire-control system. Older T-72s are to be upgraded.
The Stumbling Block
Cabinet approves deal on army's recommendation
Summer trials are expected to take place this year. The army does not foresee problems
since the tank is a successor to the T-72M which has served India well. . It has rejected
the contention made by former prime minister H.D. Deve Gowda that another derivative, the
T-72S, is a superior and cheaper option.
What's on Hold
KRIVAK CLASS CRUISERS
Specifications
Year: 1990
Value: Rs 3,906 crore deal signed in 1997
Number: Three
Why we need It
In 1997 India signed a deal for the supply of three modified Krivak or Type 1135.6
ships over the next four years to replace retiring ships. The lack of orders for new ships
from the Indian yards in the '90s created a gap that has to be filled through imports.
The Stumbling Block
If all goes well the first ship will arrive in 2002
Disquieting reports from Russia suggest that this deal, along with many other high-profile
Indian projects, may be in trouble because of mismanagement of funds by Russian companies,
including the yard which handles this contract. |