A B VAJPAYEE
The Dove at WarThe prime minister
does a balancing act by setting policy guidelines with a minimum of operational
interference.
By Saba
Naqvi Bhaumik
He
man who staked his reputation on peace and friendship with Pakistan has, paradoxically,
ended up being the country's first non-Congress war prime minister. Leading the Indian
state not when bouquets are arriving from Pakistan but when each day brings news of
military victories tempered by human casualties. For Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee
Kargil could prove the supreme test of leadership.
So far he has done something of a juggling act -- keeping
open unofficial channels of diplomacy with Pakistan while giving the military a free hand
on the war front. While planning every stage of the diplomatic parleys, he is clear that
military strategy is better left to the generals.
Vajpayee's
morning begins with a session with Principal Secretary Brajesh Mishra who drops by at Race
Course Road before attending to work at the Prime Minister's Office (PMO) in South Block.
Mishra remains Vajpayee's closest adviser on defence and foreign affairs. But the basic
decision-making forum is the Cabinet Committee on Security (CCS) which has met at least
five times a week since the Kargil conflict began. Chaired by the prime minister, these
meetings held at his residence or at South Block last for anything from an hour to three
hours. Besides the prime minister, the CCS consists of the home, defence, external affairs
and finance ministers, their secretaries, the chiefs of intelligence agencies and the
three military chiefs.
It is at these high-security meetings that the service chiefs
brief the political bosses about the situation on the battlefront. Political directives
are given and diplomatic possibilities discussed. Explains External Affairs Minister
Jaswant Singh: "What we have is a military diplomatic situation. And conflict
management is an enormous job." Singh, for instance, briefed the CCS after his
mission to China and the failure of the talks with Pakistan Foreign Minister Sartaj Aziz.
The pros and cons of crossing the LoC has been thoroughly
debated at these sessions. The intelligence and service chiefs have also devoted a great
deal of time on assessing the military and political situation inside Pakistan. But no
analysis has yet been done of the massive intelligence failure in detecting the Pakistani
build-up on the Indian side of the loc. Says Mishra: "There has been no post mortem
as yet."
What the prime minister has done instead is make it clear to
his cabinet colleagues that they should follow his lead in outlining the Indian response
and should check with him before taking any new position on Kargil. Vajpayee was forced to
enunciate his stand after some early gaffes by Defence Minister George Fernandes and BJP
President Kushabhau Thakre. Fernandes has since wisely kept his mouth shut and remains an
integral part of Vajpayee's informal war council consisting of Mishra and Singh. Through
the day, the prime minister picks up the internal rax line to check facts with his three
closest aids-in-arms. Says Singh: "We meet daily or he calls me on the rax. I seek
his guidance for every diplomatic initiative".
The Vajpayee team still has some hopes pinned on back-door
diplomacy, such as the mission undertaken by former Pakistan foreign secretary Niaz Naik.
Besides, Vajpayee has had at least six telephone conversations with Sharif since the
Kargil conflict began.
Handling war for Vajpayee does not merely involve talking to
the enemy. He's also had to keep at bay the recalcitrant forces within -- the more
hardline elements in his party and the Sangh Parivar, sections of which have been
recommending the dropping of a nuclear bomb on Pakistan and crossing the loc. Home
Minister L.K. Advani, who sits in on the CCS meetings, is the link between the party and
the government. But he is not really in on all aspects of war management. The party is
pointedly kept out though it is in the forefront of countering the awkward notes struck by
the Congress. Yet, there is a crucial distinction made between the party and the
government. In spite of the BJP's increasing hard line on Pakistan, the Vajpayee
administration has stuck to the line that the Lahore process can be resumed once Pakistan
pulls back from the loc.
Vajpayee has also side-stepped the Congress demand that a
special session of the Rajya Sabha (where the BJP is in a minority) be convened to discuss
Kargil. The Congress' ardour to take on the BJP now, without resolving the Kargil
conflict, is not shared by all anti-BJP parties. And Vajpayee scored a major point over
Congress President Sonia Gandhi when one of Rajiv Gandhi's closest aides, Arun Singh, was
appointed special executive assistant to the external affairs minister last week.
A former corporate executive who became something of a
defence specialist during his stint as minister of state in Rajiv's government, Singh is
known to be a fine strategic thinker. His decade-old report on military reforms is highly
regarded. Inducted into the government for the duration of the crisis, he will be the
bridge between diplomatic initiatives and military compulsions. The appointment will, of
course, be resented by the Congress which has bitter memories of Singh's fallout with
Rajiv over the Bofors issue. But it could also signal Vajpayee's growing willingness to
induct competent professionals into the government, regardless of their non-involvement in
the BJP.
Clearly a prime minister has many fronts to watch besides
keeping track of territory recovered and lives lost on the border. |