August 18, 1997  
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The Shape of Things to Come

50Science fiction? Some of these ideas are already on the drawing board and the scientific principles or technologies for much else exist.

  • Superconductivity will transform power engineering, in particular long distance transmission and electric traction. A subcontinental power and gas grid will have been completed by 2025. The harnessing of Himalayan hydro-resources will have significantly progressed by 2050, and the foundation just laid for the stupendous 70,000 mw hydro-project to tap the enormous drop in the giant U-bend of the Brahmaputra as it cascades down from Tibet to Assam. Arunachal Pradesh will have become India's richest state, living on a bountiful hydro-dividend.
  • Great national transformations will be effected over the next half-century. The second green revolution, a gift of biotechnology, will have shaded into the third, based on advanced dry farming, with meticulous land and water management.
  • The era of oil will have peaked. New fuels will have come in the market. Cheap Himalayan hydro-power will provide a base for hydrogen fuels while high ash, "dirty" Indian coals, will no longer be mined but gassified underground and piped to consumption centres. The problem of subsidence this might lead to will have been partly tackled by dredging the large storage dams and rivers and transporting silt slurry by pipeline as filling material.
  • Water, not energy, will become a prime concern. By 2047, a national/SAARC water grid will be well advanced with inter-basin transfers and carefully designed regional water budgets, the framing of which will be highly contentious. Deep fresh water aquifers under the Ganga basin and Bengal plain, will have been tapped after exploratory drilling and careful modelling. Technologies could have been developed to store the monsoon discharges of major rivers as they meet the sea in mammoth "envelopes", which would then perhaps be towed to provide off-shore water supply systems along the coast.
  • The Rajasthan and Kutch deserts will have been rolled back as a consequence of the Indira Gandhi and Sardar Sarovar schemes and the Kalpsar Project, entailing closure of the Gulf of Khambhat to create a huge fresh-water lake, and generate tidal power.
  • Inland waterways and, more so, coastal shipping will assume greater importance and inter-modal transport will have become standard practice by 2025. Private vehicles will yield to public transport and there will be less commuting.
  • As a pioneer licensee for sea-bed mining, India will begin exploiting such poly-metallic nodules as are available in the Indian Ocean for industrial development.
  • The successful development of the Geo-Sationary Launch Vehicle will make India a major satellite and space platform launcher. It will be a founder member of a possible United Nations global stellar platform enterprise to conduct and monitor outer space exploration, research and colonisation. This will, however, not be without political trials, with "regional parties" strongly opposed to massive resources being diverted to "wasteful" expenditure on chimerical planetary outlays while so much remains to be done at home.

 

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