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Sep 6, 1999
Elections 99
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GUIDE TO VOTING
Who will you Vote For?There are speeches,
pows-wows on television and impressive manifestos that rarely outlive the results. For the
Indian voter who doesn't vote along caste and religious lines, choosing a party is quite
perplexing. You know what you want but can't be sure which party can give it. As India
votes for the 13th Lok Sabha from September 5, INDIA TODAY guides the voter through the
unending question marks.
National Democratic Alliiance (aka
BJP)
| YOU GET...
|
...BUT |
| One overriding
leader who can lead from the front. |
Alliance partners
demand hefty state packages and RSS claims its agenda. |
| N-weaponisation,
increased defence expenditure and oodles of patriotism. |
International
wariness over India's hegemonic intentions in the region. |
| Tough-talking
Pakistan policy and no-nonsense stand on Kashmir. |
Tacit understanding
with the US to make LoC the international border. |
| More liberalization,
privatization and industry-friendly policies. |
Swadeshi means some
Indian businesses are more equal than others. |
| Low personal taxes,
low interest rates and lots of middle-class sops. |
Mounting deficit
because there is no will to cut government expenditure. |
| National pride on
display, foreigners out of culture and more Bollywood. |
Intolerance of the
avant grade and to hell with Prasar Bharati autonomy. |
| Goody-goody Vajpayee
style secularism, Ayodhya on hold. |
Quiet saffronisation
of education in anticipation of the next time. |
CHEF and His Cooks
For the three elections since 1991, the BJP's
election appeal was based on a simple tack: you've tried the others, now try us. In 1998,
the voters responded and the BJP reacted by obliterating its "distinctive"
identity. Now the presidential-style campaign is for the re-election of the "tried,
tested and trusted" Atal Bihari Vajpayee. The 24-party NDA promises the moon: stable
government, vibrant economy, federal harmony and, above all, a strong India. The BJP
agenda of a strong state has been married to economic liberalisation, technological
razzmatazz, Dravidian nationalism and Hindutva. An unlikely synthesis forged by an
incredibly lucky prime minister and a famous victory in Kargil.
To some, voting for the NDA is an act of faith, an
expression of national self-respect. That is the easy part. More complex is digesting the
belief that a coalition that includes the old Janata Dal rump can bring stability. Equally
incredible is the conviction that yesterday's Ram bhakts have suddenly imbibed Nehruvian
secularism. Less disingenuous though is the dilution of swadeshi. When it comes to
economics, the NDA is possibly more pro-reform than anyone else. It didn't create the
public sector and it won't blink dismantling it. It believes in low direct taxes. The
middle class, consumerist instincts of the BJP guide it. Equally, don't snigger at its
vision of a strong India. The bomb was part of the old National Agenda of Governance and
when the Nuclear Doctrine talks of nuclear weaponising, the NDA means it.
CONGRESS
In the Family Way
It's sometimes hard to believe that the Congress was ruling the country just three
years ago. Actually, Congressmen have not forgotten it, which is why, despite compelling
evidence to the contrary, they still dream of single-party rule. It makes political sense
though. The strongest plank of the Congress is the overwhelming public disapproval of
coalitions. The party hopes to capitalise on it with the aid of India's best known
political brand: the Nehru-Gandhi family. That's when it gets into all sorts of problems
and faces embarrassing questions about the inexperienced Italian-born bahu.
| YOU GET... |
...BUT |
| Experienced
middle-level leadership familiar with managing power. |
Party is
faction-ridden. For every successful leader there are two to spite him. |
| Nuclear
ambivalence, back to Third Worldism and non-alignment. |
Soft
touch makes it tough to sell hard decisions like signing of CTBT. |
| Liberalise the
economy further, redefine public sector, junk socialism. |
Too much Nehruvian
baggage and lingering faith that socialism wins elections. |
| Flexible
on personal taxation and generous with welfare programmes. |
Congress
sees itself as party of the poor, regards middle class as enemy. |
| Maintaint
the sanctity of the Constitution and promote liberal values. |
Non-friendly
state governments are dispensable. Forget Prasar Bharati. |
But dynasty is one aspect of the Congress package.
Accompanying it is the claim -- sometimes made credible by the NDA's blunderings -- that
it is the natural ruling party which knows how to manage power. It also claims to be
better at managing change. That means the Congress is more inhibited about the free market
than its opponents. It created the public sector and the gigantic bureaucratic apparatus
and is, therefore, more cautious about disinvestment and deregulation. It is less
sensitive to the middle class because the middle class doesn't vote for it. At the same
time, the Congress is eminently pragmatic and will do what is expedient rather than
ideologically correct. There is the Pachmarhi declaration and there are ground realities.
The latter will inevitably prevail under Sonia as it did under Rajiv and Indira.
If today the Congress is spouting peacenik rhetoric, don't
be misled. In power, its nuclear policy won't be all that different. The imagery will be.
It will be as combative against Pakistan but won't wilfully upset the delicate communal
balance at home unless it believes there is a percentage in changing tack. Like most
well-entrenched centrist parties, the Congress doesn't have firm beliefs. It has a
definite purpose: winning power and retaining it. It's the party of the old establishment
that hates the new saffron interlopers. Vote for it if you believe India was a better
place before.
ALSO IN THE RUNNING
The Third Front has disappeared but there are parties whose future lies in a hung
13th Lok Sabha. A fractured verdict gives them the space for manoeuvre.
» MULAYAM SINGH YADAV (SP): A
secular coalition government that will put the BJP and Sonia out to grass. Will join any
non-BJP government that recognises he is prima donna in Uttar Pradesh.
» H.S. SURJEET CPI (M): Can't
join any government till CPI(M) gets a majority or Jyoti Basu gets his way. Doesn't care
who forms the government as long as it's not the BJP and the CPI(M) brokers the deal.
» KANSHI RAM (BSP): Stability
is an upper-caste plot, the Bahujan Samaj wants instability. Never averse to joining any
side or ditching it as long as elections keep happening and his vote share keeps rising.
» SHARAD PAWAR (NCP): The NCP
fights Congress authoritarianism and BJP communalism. The character of the government is
negotiable except on two counts: Sonia must not be PM or Pawar less than deputy PM. |