January 15, 2001 Issue




COVER
  NDA Loses Majority
To gauge the mood of the nation at the dawn of the third millennium, India Today commissioned ORG-MARG to conduct an opinion poll, and forecast the possible composition of the House.


 
THE NATION
 

Peace Offensive
The Centre's strategy is to portray the Hurriyat Conference and Pakistan as hurdles in its quest for a political solution.

 
THE NATION
 

Black Out
Yet another major grid failure serves as a reminder of how deep-rooted the rot in India's power sector is.

 
Columns
 

Fifth Column
by Tavleen Singh
Museworthy

 
  Kautilya
by Jairam Ramesh
Contagian Time Again


 
 

Right Angle
by Swapan Dasgupta
Clarifying Clarification

 
 

Politically Correct
by P. Chidambaram
And Justice in Time

 
 

Flip Side
by Dilip Bobb
The PM's Lament

 
Other stories
  The Nation  
  Defence  
  States  
  Religion  
  Sports  
  Cyberchatter  
  Music  
  Health  
  Psus  
  The Arts  
NewsNotes
 

Wile Praise

 
 

Farm Resolve

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GROPING FOR LOGIC

Of every 10 units of power generated, only 3 units are paid for. The rest is lost to theft, technical loss and free or subsidised supply.

Some power plants in Bihar and Uttar Pradesh generate less than 10 per cent of their capacities.

The one-day grid collapse has cost electricity boards Rs 125 crore, or 15,500 MWs of power.

The SEBs are losing over Rs 22,000 crore a year. This is more than 1 per cent of India's national income.

INTERVIEW: SURESH PRABHU
Union Power Minister

"Penalty will be harsh"

Union Power Minister Suresh Prabhu spoke to Principal Correspondent Sayantan Chakravarty on the grid failure, the crumbling system and long-term solutions. Excerpts:

Q. What do you think caused the unprecedented blackout across seven states and a Union territory?
A. Preliminary probe by the Power Grid Corporation suggests that there was a large-scale 'grid indiscipline'.

Q. Can you elaborate?
A. When a particular sector trips, the others become overloaded. The Power Grid Corporation, which runs the Regional Load Despatch Centre to maintain a balance in the grid, asks some plants to cut generation so that the other sectors don't become overloaded. Repeated instructions, it appears, went unheeded.

Q. What is the estimate of the revenue loss to the Government as a result of the grid failure?
A. We generated 15,500 mw less power as a result of the failure, which is equivalent to about a day's production in the affected region. The loss worked out to about Rs 125 crore.

Q. What corrective action will you take?
A. The punishment will be harsh keeping in view the high revenue loss to the Government, besides the nearly Rs 500 crore estimated loss to the industry. I shall make both the report and the action public.

Q. Isn't the grid collapse a symptom of a bigger malaise in the system?
A. Any major grid collapse is caused by a number of factors that contribute to the failure of a system.

Q. Like what?
A. In the past 10-15 years problems like wide frequency fluctuations caused by overdrawing of power by the state electricity boards (SEB) has adversely affected the system. There is also overgeneration by power plants.

Q. There must be other deep-rooted problems.
A. Yes. Look at the losses. Because the difference between our gross cost per unit (Rs 2.80) and the average per unit tariff (Rs 2.07) is 73 paise, the annual loss is to the tune of Rs 50,000 crore. Losses from theft make for another Rs 20,000 crore.

Q. How long do you think will the situation persist?
A. We need to bring down our transmission and distribution losses on a war-footing. This is possible if we immediately invest Rs 40,000 crore every year in improving transmission and distribution. There is no further scope for academic debates and seminars on this.

Q. Are politicians responsible for the present state of affairs?
A. We have a vote bank to cater to, so we become emotional. Unfortunately, the motion of turbines does not understand emotion. Generation of power must be on commercial considerations.

JOURNEY INTO THE DARK
Beginning in Uttar Pradesh the failure enveloped the neighbouring six states

VI: 4:40 a.m.
With transmission blocked due to tripping all round, the eastern part of the grid (comprising Singrauli, Rihand, Anpara and Obra plants) collapses completely.

VII: 4:44 a.m.
With no power from the eastern part, power load plummets across the western part of the grid, tripping it and plunging seven states and Chandigarh into darkness.

IV: 3:50 a.m.
Panic spreads. In addition to Singrauli, Rajasthan too asked to shed load. Singrauli doesn't reduce generation despite repeated orders.

V: 4:38 a.m.
Two more transmission lines, Kanpur-Agra and Kanpur-Ballabgarh, trip.

III: 3:12 a.m.
Kanpur-Agra line also trips. Singrauli and Anpara again asked to cut generation.

II: 3:10 a.m.
Panki sub-station develops a major fault. Power flow gets diverted to Panki-Muradnagar and Panki-Kanpur lines. Both lines trip.

I: 1:30 a.m.
Obra-Panki transmission line trips, interrupting power flow from eastern part of the grid. Singrauli and Rihand asked to cut generation.

This is a simplified reproduction of the first report on the causes of the January 2 northern grid collapse prepared by the Power Grid Corporation of India. The map is not to scale.

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Writer's Residence
Mirza Asadullah Beg Khan, aka Mirza Ghalib lived here. The 250 sq yard in Ballimaran, an architecturally mutating cluster, has the facade of an upstart townhouse with spindly, post-1980s balusters and neo-Moorish brickwork from a prosperous factory in Haryana.
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COLUMNS  



As the Government brings in more people and mops more money in taxes, it must be seen to be rewarding those who come forth and pay up, writes India Today Associate Editor V. Shankar Aiyar in Au ContrAiyar.


 
DESPATCHES  



The BJP in Madhya Pradesh and Chhatisgarh is in the throes of a trying leadership crisis, giving the largely unchallenged ruling Congress more reasons to be smug. INDIA TODAY Special Correspondent Neeraj Mishra takes a look in Despatches.

 

 

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