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March 12, 2001 Issue




UNION BUDGET
   

Good Economics,
Risky Politics

Defying the pressures of politics, Finance Minister Yashwant Sinha has come forth with a bold, hard budget. He has committed the Government to a slew of daring economic reforms through this year's budget. But, beyond the initial euphoria generated by sheer promises, lies a rough road to fulfilling them. Will the pressures of coalition politics and an irrational Opposition allow him to deliver?


Interview:
Yashwant Sinha

"It is my budget,
not the PMO's."

 

 
THE NATION
   

Smeltdown
The NDA Government handsomely wins a vote moved by the Opposition in the Lok Sabha against the privatisation of Bharat Aluminium Company (BALCO), but it should now start worrying about the poor response to bidding for strategic partnership of public-sector units.

 

 
CARE TODAY
   

Progress Report
With an overwhelming response from readers, the CARE TODAY society had funds flowing in from all quarters to aid it in its efforts to help those rendered homeless and jobless by the devastating earthquake of January 26.

 

 
STATES
   

Reeling Estate
Gujarat is witnessing a strange phenomenon with the two hands of the Sangh Parivar, the RSS and the VHP, earning public goodwill and the BJP leadership finding itself in the hot seat over links with the building mafia.

 

 
NEIGHBOURS
 

Bust to Dust
International outrage doesn't deter the Taliban militia from pushing ahead with its plan to destroy historical statues, including the 2,000-year-old Buddha statues in Bamiyan.

 

 
ARCHAEOLOGY
 

Piecing the
Ahar Puzzle
Excavations of sites from the 4,500-year-old Ahar culture provide clues to the link between the Harappans and their predecessors.

 

 
OTHER STORIES
     
 



 
  Home  
 

COVER STORY: UNION BUDGET

INTERVIEW: YASHWANT SINHA

"It is my budget, Not the PMO's"

Basking in the glory of the post-budget euphoria, Finance Minister Yashwant Sinha was a different man from the unsure "rollback" minister of the past. He met INDIA TODAY over two sessions to explain why he is sure of keeping the tough commitments he has made in his fourth budget speech. Excerpts from exclusive interviews with Editor Prabhu Chawla and Associate Editor Rohit Saran:

Labour Reforms
Cutting Bureaucracy
User Charges
Food Economy
SSI Reservation
Borrowing Rate Cut
Sinha's Budget Gamble Rests On Optimistic Assumptions
Good Economics Risky Politics
Q. The 1997 budget, which was hailed as a dream budget, belied all hopes after the fall of two governments that year.
It is feared politics may prevent the implementation of some of the best proposals in this year's budget.
A.
From the reactions that have appeared in the media, the NDA allies are fully with us, though the Opposition is making the usual noises. In the Rajya Sabha we don't have a majority. If the Congress decides that it would not allow any progressive legislation to go through then clearly there will be a problem. We are hoping to build a consensus and persuade the Congress to support policies to which it was wedded not only when it was in the government but also till as recently as 1999 when its manifesto talked of many of these reforms.

Q. So you are sure of the allies' support even on proposals like labour reforms and privatisation?
A.
Let me make one thing clear. Opposition parties will try to take political advantage. We shall reason with them, we shall argue with them, we shall try and build consensus with them. At the same time we will like to reach out to the larger constituency outside-the people. Public opinion outside does influence the behaviour of political parties in Parliament. Look at the recent assembly bye-elections. Political parties went around with the propaganda that agricultural prices were down because of imports, which is incorrect. But it did not cut ice with the voters. Ultimately, good economics is also good politics and certainly bad economics is not good politics.

Q. The subsidy bill has shot up by over Rs 10,000 crore in two years. Why couldn't you bite the bullet on reducing subsidies?
A.
Every previous government has thought of dealing with subsidies in one way-reducing them-thus raising prices, taking political flak and ending up in failure. I decided to do a policy shift both with regard to fertilisers as well as food subsidies.

Q. You had to roll back some proposals in earlier budgets. Will there be rollbacks this year too?
A.
Well, as far as the 1998 Budget was concerned, there were a lot of roll backs. In 1999 there were none. In 2000, there were a few rollbacks.

Q. What is the basic growth trigger in your budget, higher consumer demand or more investment?
A.
Both. By reducing taxes, I am trying to propel consumer demand. Through measures like lower interest rates and promotion of infrastructure, I should get higher investments.

Q. Are you sure that banks will reduce their lending rates?
A.
I have created the environment for low-lending rates by reducing interest rates on small savings and keeping the government deficit down.

Q. The success of many budget proposals depends on the cooperation of other ministries and states. Doesn't that render the finance minister less in control of his budget?
A: The finance minister presents the budget on behalf of the whole government and it must be looked at as a national document. So it must set out the policy which the country would follow in the next 12 months.

Q. So the labour minister has no problems with the proposed reforms.
A.
No. I have had discussions with the prime minister, my colleagues and the group of economic ministers.

Q. Some people are claiming that this is a PMO budget, not yours.
A.
No, it is my budget. It has been prepared under the guidance of the prime minister, not the PMO.


 

 
 
 
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