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COVER STORY: THE STOCK SCAM; FALLOUT
Will Political Uncertainty Undo Budget 2001 And
Hit Reforms?
S.L. Rao, Economist and former
director-general, NCAER
Yes, but it won't take the political uncertainty
caused by the Tehelka expose to affect the reforms proposed in the budget.
That's simply because the Government had promised to do things it was
in no position to do without political consensus.
Surjit
Bhalla, President Oxus Research
Yes and no. The fallout of the Tehelka
expose will depend on the outcome of the forthcoming assembly elections.
It is an open call. If the NDA allies do well, the economic reforms will
be back on course.
Pradeep Srivastava, Principal
Economist, National Council for Applied Economic Research
Yes, the recent
developments have put the Centre on the defensive and this is not going
to help matters much. The budget had presented a "wish list"
of reforms. There is a deeper issue here, though. Why are the reforms
susceptible to the malodorous circus of the political elite?
B.B.
Bhattacharya, Professor, Institute of Economic Growth
Yes, the stock market crash and the Tehelka
expose have dampened business confidence which had got a boost from the
budget. The Government should hasten the pace of reforms.
M.R. Madhavan, Vice-President,
Research,
Bank of America
Yes, the latest crisis limits the
Government's ability to push through reforms like the commercialisation
of infrastructure, setting up of an efficient judicial system to resolve
commercial disputes quickly and improvements in agriculture infrastructure
to boost crop output.
Ashima
Goyal, Professor, Indira Gandhi Institute for Development Research
No, this Government has
shown great persistence in carrying out reforms in the face of setbacks.
I am sure it will continue to do so. Rather than say everyone is corrupt
it is better to find out what induces corruption in the system and then
reform it.
U. Sankar, Director, Madras
School of Economics
Yes, though political parties have the
right to air their views and draw attention to some pressing issues, there
should be limits on the time allowed for such purposes. They shouldn't
stall Parliament's proceedings for many days and waste valuable time and
public money.
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