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ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS 2001
Assam
INNOCENTS GROW UP
Two decades ago,
he was considered infallible as leader of the anti-foreigner uprising
in Assam. Not any longer. As chief minister-both during his euphoric first
term in 1985 and the present one which began in 1996-he has erred on many
fronts. Yet, Prafulla Kumar Mahanta, 49, is the Asom Gana Parishad's (AGP's)
best bet. Not because he has taken the AGP from strength to strength but
because he is the regional party's undisputed leader, having sidelined
all potential rivals.
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UNDERDOG:
Gogoi (right) is quite confident of upstaging Mahanta (above)
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The son of a schoolteacher, Mahanta has transformed
himself from a successful student leader to a politician with tremendous
staying power. His government was dismissed in November 1990 as ULFA rebels
wreaked havoc in the state, killing, kidnapping and serving extortion
notices on tea planters. Then the AGP lost the 1991 polls. When the party
romped home in May 1996, Mahanta was a changed man, demonstrating clearly
that his government would take on the ULFA.
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CHANGING
EQUATIONS
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| 1996
Assembly elections |
| Total Seats: 126 |
Seats won |
%Votes |
| AGP |
59 |
29.70 |
| Congress |
34 |
30.56 |
| BJP |
4 |
10.41 |
| 1999 Parliamentary elections |
Total
Seats: 14 |
Seats won |
Assembly Segment Leads |
% Votes |
| AGP |
0 |
7 |
15.23 |
| Congress |
10 |
64 |
38.42 |
| BJP |
2 |
34 |
29.84 |
Mahanta survived an assassination bid by the
ULFA but not the stigma of the Rs 200-crore veterinary scam. He also sent
his highly ambitious wife, Jayashree Goswami Mahanta, a zoology teacher,
to the Rajya Sabha. Now, by tying up with the BJP, he could have ensured
her a Central ministerial berth.
On his part, Assam Congress President Tarun Gogoi
is used to political families, having grown under the patronage of the
Nehru-Gandhi clan. Ever since this young lawyer from the eastern tea-growing
district of Jorhat was hand-picked by the Assam Congress stalwart Fakhruddin
Ali Ahmed in 1971 to contest the Lok Sabha polls, there has been no looking
back. He has been elected an MP six times.
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Rajen Gohain: THE TIES
THAT UNBIND
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REVOLTING MOVE: Partymen are up in
arms
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Rajen Gohain,
Lok Sabha member from Nagaon and the BJP's Assam unit chief, is
the AGP's somewhat unwilling ally in the coming election. Despite
reservations, he was forced to go along with the central leadership's
decision and accept 44 seats, and a secondary role in the alliance.
He has a revolt on his hands though. Senior party members like Hiranya
Bhattacharya have walked out over the tie-up with the "corrupt Mahanta
regime". Gohain's heart is with them. Will his head dictate otherwise?
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Yet, Gogoi, 65, is not overtly ambitious. The
party's chief ministerial candidate doesn't like to talk about it, "My
job now is
to ensure my party's victory and we are confident of winning."
His colleagues are pinning hopes on his non-controversial image.
The only controversy he has been dragged into is the accusation by Mahanta
himself, of a nexus with the ULFA. A Union minister
in the early 1990s, Gogoi is used to pressure. "I manage 20 minutes
of exercises daily to beat the stress," he says. Can he beat Mahanta
too?
-Wasbir Hussain
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