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NEIGHBOURS: BANGLADESH
Perfect Timing
Parliamentary
elections in Bangladesh are due this September and an embattled Hasina
has herself said she may call for elections earlier, in May or June. Typically,
Opposition-sponsored strikes, led by Hasina's arch-enemy and BNP leader
Khaleda Zia have frequently paralysed Dhaka and other towns. And last
fortnight, a bomb ripped through a crowd in Dhaka celebrating the Bengali
New Year's day-a gory new chapter in the country's political battles.
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VIOLENT WARD: (Left) An injured BSF jawan being attended to
by Bangladeshi officials; (right) Hasina visits a victim of a Bengali
New Year's day bomb blast at a Dhaka hospital
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The second theory is more
ingenious and is suggestive of cold-blooded calculation on Hasina's part:
that she set it off herself, to deflect the India-baiting rhetoric that
typically precedes and follows Bangladeshi elections. "To tell you
the truth, it is all about elections and madam's pro-India stand,"
says a former Bangladeshi diplomat recently posted in India, about the
incident. "Don't
worry, it (the border skirmish) won't escalate."
That doesn't mean it won't recur. In Dhaka,
the media played up the whole episode as a great Bangladeshi victory,
claiming that it has only reclaimed what was rightfully Bangladesh's,
an easy to regurgitate line that BDR chief Rahman adopted at a press conference
on April 18, a day Hasina was away from Dhaka. On
a visit to Delhi between March 28 and April 1 this year for a director
general-level border conference of the BSF and BDR, Rahman specifically
brought up the issue of border demarcation, exchange of enclaves and "adverse
possessions" with his BSF counterpart, Gurbachan Jagat. This is in
keeping with a 1974 treaty signed by Indira Gandhi and Hasina's father,
Sheikh Mujibur Rahman. While Bangladesh's Parliament has ratified the
treaty, India's has not. And till it does, India cannot officially begin
demarcation.
Meanwhile, the enclaves fester. "Both sides
agreed to exercise maximum restraint to avoid firing and tension on the
border in the spirit of friendship and cooperation between the two countries,"
concludes the joint record of discussions between the BDR and BSF. If
this letter isn't followed in spirit and resolved diplomatically, the
volatile region, and a porous boundary that illegal migrants and smugglers
call home, can only create more trouble.
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