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NEIGHBOURS: BANGLADESH
VIEW FROM DHAKA
Caught In Balance
By Almas Zakiuddin
The
Bangladeshi side of the story has taken time to emerge, and is, to a great
extent, influenced not only by the passionate and angry reaction on the
Indian side, but also by the diplomatic offensive mounted by Prime Minister
Sheikh Hasina. She has been quick to defuse the tension, but has held
back from offering an apology. In many ways, she is walking a tightrope,
using the goodwill with India to downplay the incident and at the same
time making an effort to belie accusations of a sellout.
With parliamentary elections due this year,
the retreat from Pyrdiwah, or Padua as Bangladesh calls it, was considered
a let down. The External Affairs Ministry was quick to deny any such setback.
"We will continue to negotiate on Padua through diplomatic channels
and at flag meetings," said Foreign Secretary Syed Muazzam Ali. But
was the episode over? "We can't do magic. Millions of people in the
border areas need to feel safe again. It will take time," he said.
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OPPORTUNITY STRIKES: Khaleda Zia (above)
has accused Hasina (top left) of being weak and subservient to India
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It will also take time to heal the sense of resentment
that Bangladeshis in general feel about the manner in which the Indian
Government and the media have been quick to blame atrocities on the Bangladesh
Rifles (BDR). Hasina's statement that in the Boraibari encounter the BDR
acted in self defence after it was attacked by the BSF, a fact that is
being borne out in India now, has added to the feeling of anger. And Bangladeshis,
though horrified by pictures of an Indian soldier's body hung on a pole,
are satisfied by the official explanation that the corpses of BSF soldiers
were not mutilated by the BDR but were a result of decomposition.
Speculation that the clash has been motivated
by either the Pakistani ISI or the Indian raw has been touted in some
circles but has not gained credence. Nor has the argument that slogans
supporting Opposition leader Khaleda Zia were found conveniently placed
alongside the dead Indians in Boraibari. "If that indeed were the
case, then the Indians themselves planted it," says a garment factory
owner in Dhaka. "Why would Zia's followers or the ISI leave a calling
card?" he asks. However, internal strife, including four serious
bomb explosions that have killed 33 and injured nearly 200 people in the
past two years have raised suspicions of the involvement of "vested"
quarters. Hasina's ruling Awami League has been quick to blame fundamentalist
groups, particularly after the most recent blast on April 14 in Dhaka's
Ramna Park during the Bengali New Year celebration which killed nine and
injured 20.
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Prime
Minister Hasina has to downplay the incident as also fend charges
of a sellout.
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The rise of the right wing is worrying the Awami
League, particularly because the Bangladesh National Party headed by Zia
has recently forged what could be a strong electoral alliance with them.
The Jamaat-i-Islami, the strongest among the right wing parties, has a
strong grass roots presence, drawing its strength from madarsas across
the country and funds from foreign sources. The ruling party's efforts
to whip up anger against the Jamaat-i-Islami and other rightist parties
have not made much headway.
Fortunately for Hasina, despite the internal
strife, economic growth has not flagged. According to the ADB, the economy
grew at 5.7 per cent this year and is predicted to grow by 6 per cent
next year. Bumper crops in 1999 and 2000 have boosted the agriculture
sector while the exports, manufacturing and revenue sectors have also
done well. Hasina's tactic has been to bait Zia on the subject of elections,
but to remain unfazed by the strikes and shutdowns. Zia, on the other
hand, has remained stubbornly committed to calling strikes. In the process,
she has lost much of the public support she once enjoyed.
Although Zia's rhetoric against Hasina's diplomatic
moves to defuse tensions with India have not been echoed yet, whether
it will become an issue in the forthcoming polls depends to a great extent
on future events. If the border situation flares up again, and if Bangladeshi
lives come under threat or are lost, the sentiment could change. Zia's
description of Hasina as being "subservient" to India could
be taken far more seriously then. Signs that India may be massing troops
on the border are cause for concern. No one wants to tangle with India.
But at the same time, pride in being Bangladeshi rides very high. The
assistance given by India in 1971 will never be forgotten. But Bangladeshis
would like their gratitude to be a matter of choice, not of compulsion.
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