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COVER STORY: GOVERNMENT
Ministries Of Inaction
Inefficiency, cluelessness, ideological opposition
and turf war have brought economic administration to a standstill. Analyses
of the 10 key economic ministries show why and how non-performance is
holding the economy to ransom.
By Rohit Saran and Malini Goyal
July 31: Government revenues decline by
13 per cent in the first three months of the fiscal year in 2001-2.
August 1: Exports fall by 4.6 per cent
in June 2001 compared to June 2000.
August 6: Business confidence index registers
sharpest dip in three years.
August 7 and 8: International credit
rating agencies Standard & Poor's and Moody's downgrade India's rating.
August 10: Industrial growth in June
2001 plunges to 2.1 per cent.
In the peak monsoon,
a gush of gloom is clouding the economic landscape of the country. Across
sectors, industries and companies, the economic mood is one of extreme
despondency. Indian businessmen, bankers and managers are looking to the
Government as their saviour-and villain-much the same way ancient man
looked up to the gods for deliverance in troubled times. The overwhelming
feeling is that the A.B. Vajpayee administration is living on an overdose
of promise and underdose of performance. A normally subtle and circumspect
Tarun Das, director-general of the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII),
recently blurted out, "The Vajpayee Government has been zero on implementation
of policies and projects. The governance is weak. The bureaucracy has
lost interest and is demoralised."
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RANK
INEFFICIENCY
From the worst ministers to the slightly better
10. S. JATIYA
LABOUR
9. ANANTH
KUMAR
Tourism
8. SHARAD YADAV
Civil Aviation
7. MANOHAR JOSHI
Heavy Industries
6. B.C. KHANDURI
Road Transport
5. RAM NAIK
Petroleum
4. VENKAIAH NAIDU
Rural Development
3. ARUN SHOURIE
Disinvestment
2. SURESH PRABHU
Power
1. ARUN JAITLEY
Law & Company Affairs
Ranked by assessments of achievements, commitment
to reforms, understanding of issues, openness to ideas and responsiveness
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This is not just a big lobbyist's angst about
the Government's inability to pull industry out of the downslide. The
cost of ineptitude is evident and rising. According to a CII estimate,
inefficient roads and transport have made it cheaper to import steel from
Europe to Mumbai than take it from Jamshedpur to Mumbai. A Power Ministry
study shows that Indian industry pays three times more for power than
the Chinese industry does. Small-scale firms still have to put up with
40 different inspectors a year and every new project in the power sector
still needs at least 18 clearances.
That's a damning account of the National Democratic
Alliance Government that has 26 economic ministries and 45 economic ministers.
The performance of the largest ever army of economic ministers is inversely
proportional to its size. There are too many conflicting interests in
the multi-party coalition for it to deliver. There are ministers who are
out of their depth in their jobs. There are ministers who are ideologically
opposed to reforms committed by the Government. And there are ministers
who are unable to perform due to their colleagues' inefficiency. Laments
Ravi Kant, executive director of Telco: "There is no incentive for
performance in the political system. I would go so far as to say that
we actively encourage non-performance."
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"In India, there
is a strong consensus for weak reforms."
J. Mukherjee, Director, Standard and Poor's
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"I have never seen
such a thin pipeline of investment projects."
K.V. Kamath, Chairman, ICICI
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"There is no incentive
for performance in the political system."
Ravi Kant, Executive Director, Telco
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"The Government
has been zero on implementing policies and projects."
Tarun Das, Director-General, CII
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Surely there are things other than the Government's
ineptitude afflicting business. Competition is intensifying and the global
economic slump is getting severe. But the Government's non-performance
has compounded the fallout of such events. A rough calculation shows that
the Rs 58,000-crore National Highways Development Project could create
employment for one lakh people and generate demand for five lakh tonnes
of steel and 110 lakh tonnes of cement. That's the economic benefit of
just one ministry's optimal performance. But the project is three years
behind schedule and part of it will take off only by end 2001.
It's not that nothing is happening in any ministry.
A few ministers have taken some promising initiatives. Recently, Law Minister
Arun Jaitley was able to get Parliament's approval for abolishing 300
archaic Central laws. Last week, Power Minister Suresh Prabhu was able
to coordinate the signing of contracts for six private power projects
without any guarantee of payment.
But such deeds are too few and minor to make
a mark in the sea of misdeeds. Diagnoses Kant, "The problem is nobody
is looking at the overall economy and decisions are being taken in a piecemeal
manner. You wonder who the CEO of the economy is." The root of the
non-performance is lack of economic leadership, one with a vision and
the authority to force accountability and punish mediocrity. Says Joydeep
Mukherjee, director, Standard and Poor's: "In India, there is a strong
consensus for weak reforms."
To assess the inefficiency and its cost to the
economy, India Today evaluated the performance of 10 economic minis-ters-excluding
Finance and Commerce. Conventionally the Finance Ministry, at times the
Commerce Ministry, is the one that is painted as the chief villain. The
reality is a larger part of government's economic agenda rests with other
economic ministries. Some of the most appreciated commitments of this
year's budget speech had nothing to do with the Finance Ministry. For
instance, the proposal to overhaul labour laws under the Industrial Disputes
Act and Contract Labour Act. Or the approval for disinvestments in 27
public sector units (PSUs) during 2001-2.
The 10 ministries evaluated are not the only
economic ministries. The purpose wasn't to produce an exhaustive report
card of all economic ministries, but to choose key ministries to illustrate
the extent of inefficiency in economic management. In addition to ministers'
achievements, their approach to work, promptness of response, understanding
of the ministry's problems and openness to ideas were also analysed. The
performance index was thus constructed, separating non-performers by design
from non-performance by circumstances. The analyses show how lack of effective
leadership pulls a few good performers down to the level of non-performers.
With V. Shankar Aiyar
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