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COVER STORY: INDIAN RESPONSE
Indian Forces On Alert
With the Vajpayee
Government offering support to the US action, the Indian military establishment
is prepared for all contingencies. India's sole aircraft carrier INS Viraat's
scheduled visit to the Persian Gulf this month was cancelled and the Western
Naval Fleet is on alert. The Indian Air Force (IAF) too has activated
its air defence networks and Air Chief Marshal A.Y. Tipnis postponed his
September 19 trip to Oman and UAE.
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BACKLASH:
Indians identified with the sense of outrage in America |
There has also been some exchange of military
information, with Blackwill calling on the three service chiefs. And though
the US hasn't approached India for logistical support-"We have neither
offered nor received any request from the US for using our air bases,"
says Singh-it is believed Washington may turn to Delhi if the pro-jehadi
unrest in Pakistan takes an ugly turn.
According to the Indian military establishment,
the US action will range from small-scale raids using special forces to
precision air strikes and cruise missile barrages on identified targets.
The US has learnt its lesson from the August 1998 attack when a majority
of the 71 cruise missiles directed at Afghanistan missed their targets
by miles. According to military experts, the US may position its carrier-based
forces off the Makran coast and launch aircraft to deliver laser-guided
bombs in Kandahar, Jalalabad, Khost and Kabul. This may be followed by
ground action with the support of attack helicopters. But, says Lt-General
Satish Nambiar, director, United Services Institution: "There is
no question of the US assembling large troops in Pakistan for this operation."
The risks are too great.
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WANING VIOLENCE: Since the strikes in the
US, there has been only one militant attack in Kashmir feeding the
belief that the terrorists may be asked to retreat from the state
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Another option involves the use of Pakistani
air space by the US only for flight refuellers and Airborne Warning and
Control Systems, while conducting operations from Indian airfields. Despite
no commonality between Indian and the US air force equipment, the fuel
bowser of a mig-29 fighter can be used in a Mirage-2000 or F-16 fighter.
For a turnaround strike, all an aircraft needs is fuel, liquid nitrogen
for missiles, liquid oxygen for the cockpit, compressed gas and lubricants.
But even with air bases in India, the US has to station ground troops
along the 1,500-km Durand Line to salvage any ground operation that goes
awry.
While the US has not discussed its military
strategy even with its closest allies such as the UK, military planners
here do not rule out Stealth bomber strikes from the US base in Turkey
through the Turkmenistan air space. The other option is to operate B-2
long-range bombers from Guam and refuel them in India on their way back.
These strikes will have to be backed by hard intelligence, economic and
diplomatic actions aimed at disrupting the terrorist networks and the
support systems.
There is general consensus in Indian diplomatic
circles that the US will not stop at just securing bin Laden. The Taliban
regime is certain to be crippled and in the process, Pakistan's dream
of emerging as a radical "Islamic fort" in Asia may have to
be shelved. For India, these would be heartening developments.
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