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COVER STORY: PAKISTAN
At Your Service, Sir
In a desperate move, President Musharraf agrees
to help America in its war against Osama bin Laden. But the backlash from
radical Islamists who endorse the Taliban and the Saudi fugitive may push
Pakistan into another era of chaos.
By Rory McCarthy in Islamabad
Whichever way Pakistan's General Pervez
Musharraf looks these days there is nothing but trouble ahead. Days after
the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon in the US, the
military regime in Islamabad is caught in the biggest dilemma Pakistan
has ever faced. As big, as the general frankly admitted over national
television last week, as the 1971 war that split the country into two.
One wrong step now and the country's future could be even more badly scarred.
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BACK TO THE WALL: General Musharraf (above); anti-American
protestors in Karachi (below)
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The choice had never been starker. On one side,
the world's most powerful nation, wounded and angry, was bluntly telling
the general that if he did not act as a friend now he would be considered
the enemy. On the other were the leaders of the most brutish police state
in the world and their hordes who threatened jehad against the very country
that had nurtured them. If the general sided with the zealots, there was
little doubt that the US would reduce Pakistan to another failed state
as it did to Iraq. If he played ball with America, he could unleash an
Islamic storm that would not only swamp him but also send Pakistan hurtling
back to the Dark Ages.
It didn't take long for the general to make up
his mind and choose what he termed "the lesser evil". Musharraf
confirmed that Washington had asked Pakistan for intelligence on the Saudi
fugitive Osama bin Laden, the prime suspect in the attack, apart from
use of its air space and logistical support. He said Pakistan's nuclear
assets were at risk unless the country cooperated. "I've fought two
wars and I've faced many dangers. And by the grace of God I've never shown
timidity," he said. "But we do not want to be foolish."
Rifaat Hussain, head of defence and strategic studies at Islamabad's Quaid-e-Azam
University, puts it more simply, "He recognised that Pakistan cannot
afford to be on the wrong side of history."
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MUSHARRAF'S OPTIONS
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DAMNED IF HE DOES
# Clerics in Pakistan have warned of turmoil
if the country helps the US against Afghanistan.
# Pashtun tribesmen are already closing
ranks to protect the Taliban.
# Some groups have even threatened suicide
attacks. |
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| DAMNED IF HE
DOESN'T |
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# If Pakistan does not help, the US will perceive
it as sympathetic to terrorists.
# The country would invite the US' wrath and
endanger its nuclear assets.
# A cut in western aid may prove fatal for an
economy already on the brink.
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Islamabad had earlier desperately tried to stave
off making the choice. In the days after the attacks, Musharraf sent a
secret delegation to Kabul to work out a compromise but it failed. Then
last week he sent his closest ally, ISI chief Lt-General Mehmood Ahmed,
to Kandahar to see Mullah Mohammad Omar, the reclusive, one-eyed supreme
leader of the movement, and warn him to hand over bin Laden or face the
wrath of America. He too came back empty-handed. Now the Taliban appears
determined to pitch the country into a direct military confrontation with
the US. It seems clear that an American attack will target not only the
thin and greying 44-year-old bin Laden, the world's most wanted man, but
also his hosts.
Pakistani military sources say Washington has
so far made four basic requests, all of which the military regime has
decided to accept. The US wants to see the ISI's files on bin Laden and
the Taliban. It wants Islamabad to close the border with Afghanistan and
halt the supply of fuel to the Taliban. The last request was the most
sensitive: permission to use Pakistani airspace in the event of a military
strike. Musharraf agreed and even this much is progress. When America
last attacked bin Laden in August 1998, it did not ask permission before
firing a salvo of 60 Tomahawk cruise missiles through Pakistani airspace
into four terrorist training camps on the eastern Afghan border. Islamabad
lodged the sternest protest. Bin Laden escaped unhurt into the desert.
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