|
washington's
war against terrorism and Osama bin Laden's Al Qaida network isn't limited
to cleaning up Afghanistan. This fight against terror will go beyond the
battlefield, eventually into the Arab world, to Europe and to Latin America.
Once the campaign in Afghanistan is over-and that could be in weeks
if the Taliban decides upon a tame surrender at Kandahar, or could extend
into months, if not years, if the US gets embroiled in a guerrilla war
in southern Afghanistan-the attention of the world's hawks will shift
to the other areas where the enemy lies. Terrorism didn't begin with those
dramatic attacks on the World Trade Center in New York and the Pentagon
in Washington. And it's not going to end with the capture of Afghanistan.
In fact the web of terror that bin Laden and his cronies have woven has
spread to so many points across the globe that its elimination will be
a colossal task. The enemy is everywhere now and it rarely has an address.
|
|
|
THE POWER OF ONE: Bin Laden claims to
have nuclear weapons
|
America has launched a range of initiatives against these masters of
hate. And the air attacks on Afghanistan are just one part of this campaign.
There will be, in due course, some short spectacular attacks-in the Israeli
fashion-on terrorist bases in other parts of the world also. And what
most of us will never know or learn about is the systematic elimination
of terrorists in the world's dark alleys. This had begun even before Washington
fired its first cruise missile on Al Qaida camps and will continue well
after the curtains are drawn on the Afghanistan campaign.
Currently, this war against terrorism is not only being fought with
guns and missiles, but with everything that intelligence agencies can
bring out for use. Despite considerable effort, only few breakthroughs
have as yet been achieved. Arrests have been made across Europe-in Britain,
France, Germany and Bosnia-as also in Canada, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and
Latin America. All suspected bank accounts are being frozen and their
earlier links are being re-examined. But if the success of the US and
its friends is any indication of what lies ahead, then it is clearly going
to be a long haul.
 |
| ANGER AT WORK: Pro-bin Laden protesters at
an anti-US rally in Karachi on October 29 |
There is, however, a consistency in the pattern that is beginning to
evolve. To begin with, the attacks on the US have brought home the point
that it takes only a handful of motivated people to destroy the world
we live in. Today's terror groups are most likely to target multi-cultural,
pluralist democracies. Furthermore, despite their dislike for such societies,
these terrorists can live and train within them-like in the US-until the
day comes when they are ordered to destroy the very people they have lived
and dined with. Nation states are being rendered more and more ineffective
as the world debates what it must do now. While the regular terrorist
is your modern mercenary soldier, ready to die for a price, it is more
important to nail his sponsors who are funding him but are unwilling to
die.
While many of this new breed of terrorists were not just born and raised
in the Arab world but also in Europe, it is believed that many of them
are followers of an extremist fascist ideology called Takfir wal Hijra.
And they use religion to justify the slaughter of both Muslims and non-Muslims.
And it is this new fanaticism that is being harnessed by terror groups
all over.
Indications are that the web of terror has spread to almost all corners
of the world, with core groups operating out of Asia, Europe, North Africa
and Latin America. While intelligence agents have found that London is
a key recruitment centre, proof is now emerging-as banks investigate dozens
of account links in Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay-that the financing
of terrorist groups comes from as far away as Latin America.
As yet, we have only witnessed well-coordinated attacks by hijacked
planes and the scare that a few anthrax casualties can create. But these
could be little more than a murderous tease compared to the prospect of
nuclear weapons in the hands of rogues like bin Laden. Just what he could
do if he does have the nukes that he claims is perhaps the most pressing
question for the US and many analysts the world over-even though the consensus
is that bin Laden's group has only a "dirty bomb", a basic weapon
packed with some radioactive debris. No wonder Pakistan, until recently
a partner of bin Laden, has had to make some arrests, most notably of
Bashiruddin Mehmood, an engineer and a diehard bin Laden follower. The
US now admits that other Pakistani scientists may also be on its watch-list.
But it's not just Pakistan's nukes that cause concern. Not all of the
Russian and former Soviet nuclear arsenal is strictly under Moscow's control.
Russia's own internal security agencies have admitted this. In the 1990s,
stolen Russian nuclear material, smuggled via Afghanistan, was stocked
in a warehouse in Peshawar. Such gaps must be plugged without further
delay.
However, since pulling off even a low-grade nuclear attack is complicated
business-and perhaps as yet beyond bin Laden's capability-there is still
hope that all is not lost. But as the goal of terrorists is to spread
panic, they are doing so slowly but systematically. Just as the world
had begun to trumpet the case of globalisation, essentially the economic
benefits that came with it, it has now been stunned at the sheer globalisation
of terror. Bin Laden and his gang have corporatised terror by their ability
to move people from the Philippines to Britain and then the US. And somewhere
along the way, a bond develops between these recruits.
The primary target may now appear to be the US, but with the terrorists
against pluralist societies per se-and with the US tightening security
all around-it is only a matter of time that their focus shifts towards
India. There is, therefore, an immediate need for a two-pronged approach
by Delhi. First, since Islamabad is under pressure to behave, it must
look beyond Pakistan. For that, Indian intelligence agencies must shed
their traditional habit of waffling and adopt the Mossad approach: get
down to collecting hard intelligence about India's enemies. And second,
people across India must become alert to the threats of terrorism and
be prepared to play their part. Expecting the local policeman to do everything
will be expecting a bit too much. In this era of terror, there will be
no second chance.
|