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KANDAHAR: Indian intelligence agencies feel the region in and
around this Taliban stronghold is the most probable location of bin Laden.
They believe he should be in the vicinity of Spin Buldak that leads to
Pakistan's Chaman area through the famed Khojak Pass.
ORUZGAN, PAKTIA AND PAKTIKA PROVINCES: Famed for cave hideouts
and miles of tunnels, these Afghan mountain provinces provided shelter
to bin Laden till the Northern Alliance virtually swept the northern parts
of the country.
PAKISTAN-OCCUPIED KASHMIR: The possibility of bin Laden taking
shelter in the Karakoram ranges is extremely remote, even though he has
helicopters and aircraft at his disposal. This is because the US is closely
monitoring the air traffic and has pressed in dedicated satellites to
spot bin Laden.
FERGHANA VALLEY: Stronghold of bin Laden's lieutenant Jumma Namangani.
Aware that bin Laden could exploit Afghanistan's porous borders with Tajikistan
to enter the lush Ferghana Valley, Russia has already placed its crack
201 motorised division on alert.
Shishir Gupta
ENDGAME FOR AL QAIDA

. USA:Has frozen
assets worth $24 million of organisations linked to the Al Qaida and the
Taliban regime.
. Carry on the promised war against
terrorism beyond the death or capture of bin Laden.
.BRITAIN: Arrested key Al
Qaida associates in the September 11 plot. Legislation to choke the group's
funding.
.Has to shed image of being terrorist
haven. Needs to curb the export of fresh Al Qaida recruits.
.GERMANY: Coordinated with
the French and Italian police to arrest five suspected Al Qaida operatives.
. Needs to prevent itself from becoming
a base for Al Qaida's operations.
.FRANCE: Arrests of Al Qaida
members. Has frozen accounts of organisations linked
to the Al Qaida.
.Increase surveillance of Arab and
North African populations.
.SOUTH AMERICA: Nineteen
persons with links to the Al Qaida have been arrested.
.Must stop itself from becoming
a major transit and cash source for Al Qaida cells.
.EGYPT: Is putting on trial
over 250 members of Islamic groups linked to the Al Qaida.
.Avoid becoming the breeding ground
of Islamic terrorism. Curbs on groups allied to the Al Qaida.
.SAUDI ARABIA: Has begun
a long overdue crackdown on the sympathisers of the Al Qaida.
.The major cash pipeline which sustains
the Al Qaida is believed to originate here. Needs to be cut off.
.AFGHANISTAN: US strikes
have killed Al Qaida leaders, destroyed training camps which churned out
about 20,000 recruits.
.Get bin Laden and his inner terror
circle, including aides like Ayman al-Zawahiri.
.PAKISTAN: Has done little
apart from detaining protesters and nuclear scientists with links to the
Al Qaida.
.Crackdown on ISI links with the
Al Qaida. Prevent the dislodged organisation from taking root in the country.
.PHILIPPINES: Has begun a
crackdown on the Abu Sayyaf, a radical Islamic terrorist group closely
allied to the Al Qaida.
.Prevent recruitment to and contain
the spread of the Abu Sayyaf movement in southern Philippines.
.INDONESIA: Government agrees
to freeze assets of organisations linked to the Al Qaida.
.Crack down on radical groups like
the Lashkar Jihad which has ties with the Al Qaida.
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