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For the past
two years, Samajwadi Party (SP) leader Mulayam Singh Yadav avoided the
company of Congress President Sonia Gandhi. That changed last week when
Mulayam drove to CPI (M) leader Somnath Chatterjee's 21 Ashoka Road residence
to sup with his political foe. The ostensible purpose of the get-together
was to discuss floor coordination among opposition parties. But the backdrop
was unmistakably the Uttar Pradesh assembly elections. The Marxists were
keen to broker a deal between the two.
Shortly after Sonia's arrival, CPI(M) General Secretary Harkishan Singh
Surjeet informed her that Mulayam wished to speak to her. He even arranged
for a tete-e-tete between them where the SP leader did all the talking.
Sonia, as usual, gave nothing away. Nevertheless, the duo struck a cordial
pose, burying an acrimonious past, though no one knows to what end. Will
the two parties enter into an electoral pact? Or were the two leaders
merely preparing for a post-poll deal? What does Sonia get in the bargain?
Despite Mulayam's blunt assertion the next day that "any talk of
Congress-SP tie-up before the elections is meaningless since the Congress
is only a marginal player in the state", speculation persists. In
April 1999, Mulayam held Sonia's Italian descent against her and refused
to back her claim to form a government, forcing a mid-term election. Thereafter
he steadfastly refused to recognise her as the leader of the Opposition:
he did not attend meetings convened by her and communicated with the Congress
only via the Marxists. He even forced the Left to boycott a tea party
hosted by Sonia during the monsoon session of Parliament.
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PAST ENEMIES: Sonia and Mulayam at the
dinner hosted by Chatterjee
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What happened between July and now that has made the Yadav leader thaw?
According to Congress circles, the September 11 events, the ban on SIMI
and the war in Afghanistan have polarised Uttar Pradesh voters along communal
lines. With poll-eve dissensions brewing within the SP, Rajnath Singh
effecting a BJP fightback and a multi-cornered contest on hand, Mulayam
fears the elections could well be a close call. That's why he decided
to prepare for a post-poll scenario. The Congress could support him just
as it helped him survive in office for seven months in 1990. Uttar Pradesh
Congress leaders believe a Mumbai-based industrial house played a role
in facilitating the Mulayam-Sonia dialogue.
The dialogue, of course, did not happen suddenly. The SP has been working
at it for some time now. In the past few months, Mulayam had stopped attacking
the Congress. "Mulayam doesn't want to annoy the Muslims, who have
no patience for Congress-bashing. They will vote only for those who will
fight the BJP," points out former UPCC president Salman Khursheed.
He, however, rules out an alliance with the regional party. "SP has
nothing to give us. We have nothing to take. Our vote share will go down
if we share seats." To drive home this point both he and AICC General
Secretary Ghulam Nabi Azad attacked the SP a day after the dinner diplomacy.
SP General Secretary Amar Singh, like Mulayam, also rules out a poll
pact with the Congress. "We are not attacking the Congress because
it is non-existent in Uttar Pradesh. We just want to save our energy,"
he says. Singh feels too much should not be read into Mulayam's meeting
with Sonia. "Rivalry doesn't mean enmity. I'm not her friend but
I don't want to be her enemy either. She has been personally warm to me."
Singh, who initiated contacts with Sonia after Madhavrao Scindia's death
in September, has already made a placatory gesture. He didn't move his
private member's bill in the Rajya Sabha to prohibit those of foreign
origin from holding high office. "I don't see the need for the bill.
The Supreme Court has settled Sonia's citizenship. The BJP is threatening
to bring a privilege motion against me. I don't care."
The BJP is certainly worried at a possible Sonia-Mulayam entente on
Uttar Pradesh. But even in the Congress, the dialogue has evoked a mixed
response. Most Congressmen expect a Patna-like situation in Lucknow. "There
will be some Congress ministers at last," says a state leader sarcastically.
Those like Khursheed, however, feel that "to win the elections, you
can't make the devil your friend. Such politics will hurt the Congress".
This, however, is a minority view in a party that has been in the wilderness
in Uttar Pradesh for a decade and is desperate to piggyback its way into
reckoning.
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