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ACCESS DENIED:
While supporters of MLAs who were denied tickets protest against
the decision in Lucknow, an unrattled Rajnath (above extreme right)
welcomes BSP MLAs into the party (below)
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Party hopping
on the eve of elections is an acknowledged pastime of political opportunists
and congenital defectors. Political parties, irrespective of their size
and reach, view such developments with alarm as it affects their rank
and file. So when half-a-dozen ministers of the Rajnath Singh Cabinet
put in their papers just before the BJP-led ruling alliance in the state
distributed tickets for the Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections last week,
the BJP should have been in a tizzy. Far from it. When it released the
initial list of 309 candidates-the party will contest 325 seats leaving
the remaining 78 in the 403-member Assembly for its allies-it was clear
that the party was least rattled by the last-minute defections. Instead,
in a seemingly bold gamble initiated by Rajnath to eject professional
defectors and perennial blackmailers, the party denied tickets to 41 of
the 152 sitting MLAs, including three ministers-over 25 per cent of the
incumbents. In the past, the chief minister's predecessors have tried-and
failed-in their attempts to purge the party of under-performers and mischiefmongers.
Is Rajnath going to succeed where the others had failed?
The initial reactions were mixed. At the party headquarters on Delhi's
Ashoka Road and at the state's main office in Lucknow, leaders were emphatic
in their belief that it was good riddance to bad rubbish. They expressed
confidence that with the excess baggage cast off, the BJP and its allies
would come up trumps. But supporters of the MLAs who were denied tickets
took out demonstrations and hurled abuses at Rajnath and the party's central
leadership. "These are minor irritants. Having lost out on tickets,
they will soon lose whatever little support they have," says a senior
leader dismissively. The party believes that elections are as much about
clearing the deadwood as it is about forging new friendships. So instead
of mulling over the defections and the protests, the BJP has gone on an
overdrive to attract allies-and on the face of it with considerable success.
The wide circle of friends that the BJP now boasts of includes, among
others, the Rashtriya Lok Dal (RLD), Loktantrik Congress Party (LCP),
the Jantantrik Bahujan Samaj Party (JBSP), the Kisan Majdoor Bahujan Samaj
Party (KMBSP), the Samata Party, the Janata Dal(U), the Lok Janshakti
and the Shakti Dal. But the BJP leadership doesn't appear to be satisfied
yet. It is still on the prowl to grab disgruntled members of the Samajwadi
Party (SP), Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and the Congress. In fact, it has
already managed a tie-up with two sacked BSP leaders and five SP MPs so
far.
With the BJP's brotherhood bandwagon ostensibly gaining momentum, opposition
parties have started undertaking a damage control exercise. Thanks to
the active role played by JD(U) supremo Sharad Yadav, Mulayam Singh Yadav's
sp, for instance, has been stung by a spate of switchovers. The Samajwadi
chief's monopoly on his community has been broken. Of the seven Yadav
MPs in the SP, Sharad Yadav has succeeded in weaning away three-Rama Kant
Yadav, Bhai Chand Yadav and Balram Singh Yadav. Besides, he has also succeeded
in getting two others-Sakshi Maharaj and Sarvaraj Singh-to pledge support
to the ruling alliance. A senior SP functionary said that those leaving
the party were "either criminals or discredited persons" and
they owed the advancements in their political career only to the generosity
of the SP president. Such claims notwithstanding, the fact remains that
the party leadership is yet to take decisive action against the defectors.
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| Sakshi Maharaj abused Vajpayee and quit the BJP
two years ago but is back lobbying for the party. |
For one who was drafted into office just a year ago to shore up the sagging
morale of the BJP, Rajnath has travelled a long way. Under the lacklustre
leadership of Ram Prakash Gupta, the party had regressed to its nadir,
buffeted as it was between allies with outrageous demands and partymen
with oversized egos. Among the 41 MLAs who were denied renominations,
there are those who are known to have cross-voted in the Rajya Sabha elections
from the state and during the polls to the Vidhan Parishad. That Rajnath
was ready to tame these elements both inside the party and among its allies
is evident in the way he has dealt with the allocation of seats. Regular
blackmailers like the LCP, Ram Vilas Paswan's Lok Janshakti and the KMBSP
had as usual demanded seats far in excess of their winning potential.
But as things stand now, all its allies will have to be content with a
total of 78 seats. Of this, the lion's share is expected to go to Ajit
Singh's RLD. It is likely to get 35 seats, far short of its demand of
65. Paswan had hoped to put up at least 50 candidates, but he will have
to satisfy his party members with just a tenth of that number. Likewise
for Sharad Yadav's JD-(U).
Rajnath and the central leadership may believe they were being conservative
while doling out seats to the allies, but the party still faces the prospect
of rebellion. In fact, party cadres are openly voicing their displeasure
in the constituencies allotted to Ajit Singh. Just a few months ago, he
was a formidable opponent of the BJP in western Uttar Pradesh. The BJP
wooed him in the hope of garnering the Jat and OBC votes. Though Ajit
Singh played hard to get, saying he would enter into a pact only if the
Centre agreed to carve out a separate state of Harit Pradesh comprising
districts in western Uttar Pradesh, he finally buckled in. Prime Minister
Atal Bihari Vajpayee's offer of Union agriculture minister was too good
to resist. Now with a sizeable chunk of the seats in western Uttar Pradesh
allotted to the RLD, the BJP is doubtful if its cadres will be as eager
to canvass support for the newly found ally's candidates.
For the moment, however, the party leadership appears convinced that
extraordinary situations demand extraordinary measures-like ejecting sitting
MLAs. The spate of defections undoubtedly caused initial embarrassment
to the state Government as did the earlier exits of ministers like Amarnath
Tripathi, who was dismissed for his criminal links, and Mandleshwar Singh,
who had to resign after the police raided his transport company for alleged
irregularities. But even the entry of new allies or foe-turned-friends
is not helping much. The support the BJP is now getting from the likes
of, for instance, Sakshi Maharaj is being viewed with scepticism. After
all, Maharaj walked out of the party into Mulayam Singh's embrace after
showering choicest epithets on the prime minister himself. That was just
two years ago-too short a time span to even try forgetting.
-with Sharad Gupta
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