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On
September 15, 2001, the Prime Minister addressed the nation over Doordarshan
and spoke about the inevitability of taking hard decisions on the economy.
Three days later, his Government sanctioned a Rs 800 crore bonanza for
Central government employees by way of a da increase. On February 28,
2002, while presenting his fifth budget, the finance minister waxed eloquent
on expenditure discipline. Nineteen days later, his Government sanctioned
yet another round of da payment to its employees and pensioners. This
time the cost to the exchequer was over Rs 1,800 crore.
At a time when the inflation rate has been declining, such largesse is
inexplicable. At a time when the Centres finances are so badly stretched
and half of its revenue receipts go toward interest payments alone, such
a bounty is inexcusable. At a time when there is an urgent need to step
up growth-stimulating and equity-inducing public investment, particularly
in physical and social infrastructure, such a blatantly political move
is anti-poor. But who is to protest? Yashwant Sinha blames his predecessor
for destabilising public finances by accepting the recommendations of
the Fifth Pay Commission. But he forgets that no political party had opposed
the recommendations in 1996-97. Yet it was the same Sinha who linked pensions
of those retirees prior to January 1, 1986 to the vastly enhanced revised
pay scales.
DA
stands for dearness allowance and is the compensation given to government
and public-sector employees for cost-of-living increases. These employees
account for around 5 per cent of Indias workforce of over 300 million.
But it is their pay, perquisites and privileges that are not only well
protected but continually enhanced. da is calculated using the Consumer
Price Index for Industrial Workers (cpi-iw) with 1982 as the base. Unlike
other price indicators like the Wholesale Price Index, the cpi-iw has
not been restructured to keep up with the times as it should because of
pressure from government employee unions. Hence it is the only one that
reveals increasing inflation in 2001, apart from showing the highest rate
of increase in the past decade by a substantial margin.
For the financial year 2002-3, the da bill for the Centre is budgeted
at a whopping Rs 12,500 crore, while the salary bill is pegged at around
Rs 18,000 crore. Before the Fifth Pay Commission, the rate of neutralisation
was 100 per cent for Class III and IV employees, 75 per cent for Class
II and 65 per cent for Class I employees. The commission changed this
to a uniform 100 per cent for all employees. Even if there was political
pressure, the least Sinha could have done was opt for a lower rate of
neutralisation keeping in view the benign inflation position.
P. Chidambaram did make one valiant attempt to manage the da burden. But
the Law Ministry opined that da could not be tampered with without the
consent of employee unions and that the only way to manage the salary
bill was by declaring a financial emergency under Article 360 of the Constitution.
This provision allows for reduction in salaries and allowances when a
situation has arisen whereby the financial stability or credit of India
or any part of the territory thereof is threatened. Chidambaram
did not pursue the matter further. But the Law Ministry may have been
a bit too cautious; after all, some states like Maharashtra and Assam
have announced a freeze on da. And what about the precedent of July 1974
when, following the first oil price shock of October 1973 and a monsoon
failure, the inflation rate in 1973-74 had crossed 20 per cent. Indira
Gandhi had turned to the then chief economic adviser in the Finance Ministry
for some radical ideas to control the spiralling price rise. This economist
came up with bold measures which, among other initiatives, froze wage
and salary increases and 50 per cent of the da payments in the organised
sector. The inflation rate fell steeply to minus 1 per cent in 1975-76
and 2 per cent the following year. It was this achievement, incidentally,
that made Manmohan Singhs reputation.
There is one view that the salary bill of the Central government is not
unsustainable judged from the fact that salaries, allowances and pensions
now average about 2.4 per cent of the gdp, no different from the proportion
a decade ago. But to argue that the governments establishment expenditure
is not having debilitating consequences is to run away from harsh realities.
In Uttar Pradesh and Bengal for instance, the revenue is not enough to
pay even the salary of state employees. Automatic indexation, which is
what da is all about, is accentuating the fiscal woes of the states. It
is high time Delhi practised what it preaches. Otherwise, it will undermine
what some reformist chief ministers like Digvijay Singh, A.K. Antony and
Tarun Gogoi are trying to do. Actually, truth be told, the situation envisaged
by B.R. Ambedkar himself while conceiving and piloting what became Article
360 is already here.
(The author is with the Congress party. These
are his personal views)
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