|
BUILDERS
& BREAKERS
Numbers Man
Rajiv Gandhi
By
Vir Sanghvi
|
1944:
Born in Mumbai.
1960s: Returns to India
from Trinity College, Cambridge, without a degree.
Joins Indian Airlines as a pilot.
1968: Marries Sonia.
1981:
After Sanjay's death, he quits IA to join politics.
1984: Becomes PM after
Indira's death.
1985-86: Ushers in economic
reforms. Signs Punjab, Assam, Mizo Accords.
1987: Signs Indo-Sri
Lankan peace pact which results in the IPKF misadventure.
Bofors scandal unfolds.
1989: Defeated in Lok
Sabha elections.
1991: Assassinated in
Sriperumbudur. |
|
|
No prime ministership has been as full of ironies as Rajiv
Gandhi's was. Here's the first one: if his government
had lasted for the two-and-a-half years that is pretty
much the norm these days, he would have been regarded
as one of our best prime ministers ever. By the spring
of 1987, accords were in place in Punjab, Assam and Mizoram,
our foreign policy was looking up, V.P. Singh's finance
ministry was being heralded for its honesty and liberalising
zeal and the prime minister was astonishingly popular.
If his government had fallen that March, then Rajiv would
have been treated as world-class statesman.
The
problem was: his government lasted five years.
Here's
a second irony. The very factor that got him elected ensured
that he was seen as a failure by the end of his term.
In 1984, his youth, his political inexperience and his
air of cheerful amateurishness turned him into an icon
in a nation that was fed up of professional politicians
and their sleazy shenanigans. By 1989, the same people
who had loved him for his naivete were now dismissing
him as a dilletante who did not understand politics. Even
today, when we talk of Rajiv, we speak of wasted mandate.
The man could have transformed India, we say, but he did
nothing. Contrast this with P.V. Narasimha Rao who changed
everything, though he didn't have a majority.
In
saying this, we miss the irony. The only reason Rajiv
got that mandate was because he was not Narasimha Rao.
Of course, he lacked Narasimha Rao's political skills
-- but that's exactly why he won the election.
In
1990, a few months after he had moved out of Race Course
Road, I asked Rajiv why he thought he had won the 1984
mandate, the biggest ever accorded to an Indian prime
minister. He looked genuinely bemused. "I don't know,"
he said. "Perhaps, it was because nobody really knew me
so they were able to see whatever they wanted in me."
He
was right, of course. The notion that a country that has
been driven to the brink of disaster by an imperious prime
minister, during whose term militancies have threatened
to turn into civil war, should elect as her successor
her completely inexperienced son without knowing what
he stands for is so preposterous that it defies reason.
And yet, Rajiv benefited from a wave, the likes of which
India had never seen before. It wasn't so much that he
was his mother's son, more that he offered an alternative
to everything that she had stood for.
Indira
believed in confrontation. Rajiv believed in conciliation.
Indira was arrogant. Rajiv was charming. Indira was surrounded
by obsequious courtiers. Rajiv depended on well-educated
school and university buddies. For a nation traumatised
by five years of Indira's misrule and shell-shocked by
her assassination at the hands of her own security guards,
Rajiv offered an irresistible combination: change but
with continuity.
And,
of course, as he finally realised, everybody projected
their own aspirations and wishes on him. He was every
young person's chosen candidate. He was every middle-class
person's role model: the first prime minister in history
to have ever held a salaried job with a large corporation.
Because his early image was so bland, he began with a
clean slate, a slate on which everybody wrote whatever
they wanted.
Nobody
could have delivered on those expectations. Too many people
wanted too many things. And even if Rajiv had tried to
give them what they wanted, there was another problem:
he didn't know how to do it. In the course of that same
conversation in 1990, he was both reflective and defensive.
"Yes, yes, I made mistakes. But you know if any one of
you guys (the journalists who attacked him) had got the
job, you would have made the same mistakes. It takes time
to learn how the system works."
To
his credit, he tried his best. His early agenda was determined
by the circumstances of his accession. India was falling
apart. It was his job to try and put it together again.
The Punjab Accord may not have been the success that he
had hoped for but equally, it is hard to deny that in
1984 when Rajiv took over, Khalistan seemed like a real
possibility, while by 1989, it was an empty slogan. With
the Assam Accord he managed what his mother had failed
to do: he brought the state back to the national mainstream.
In Mizoram, he ended a militancy that had raged for 50
years. Similarly, while his Sri Lanka policy eventually
failed, Colombo recognised that he had abandoned Indira's
agenda of creating trouble for all our neighbours.
Unfortunately
after he had spent two years doing the obvious things,
he ran out of steam. His drawback was that he had no unified
vision of the India he wished to create. When he was elected,
that did not seem so important. At that time, the priority
was to save the India we had, not to create a new one.
Moreover, his laidback charm and easy wit helped cover
up for the lack of vision. Asked about his priorities
at an early press conference, he dodged the question with
a one-liner. "Your mother gave us a government that worked.
What will you give us?" asked a reporter. "A government
that works faster."
Working
faster. For the first two years, that was what it was
all about for Rajiv. He had no desire to change the system,
he just wanted to make it move more swiftly. If you look
back at the things he said during that period, they were
all the kinds of things that any educated middle-class
person of his background would have said. There was too
much bureaucracy. We needed to cut down on red tape. Politicians
should be better educated. We should all learn to use
computers. We should look for managerial solutions to
such problems as the population explosion. Market research
would tell us what the people of India wanted.
The
sad reality is that you cannot transform India with an
agenda that could have appeared in the pages of the Doon
School Weekly. By his third year in office, Rajiv had
learnt the limitations of Doscospeak. But he was still
groping for a vision, for a new way to go forward. When
he did come up with an alternative agenda, there were
two problems. One: his chosen vision centred on Panchayati
Raj (a vision so far removed from the managerial solutions
of his first year that it made no sense to his middle-class
constituency) which he was unable to sell to his party,
let alone the country.
But
it was the second problem that was the clincher: it was
simply too late. By the summer of 1987, the Rajiv mandate
had begun to collapse. The electorate admitted that he
had restored stability to India, but complained that he
had failed to make the country a much better place to
live in. The extravagant expectations that had created
the mandate now tore it apart. When V.P. Singh revolted,
and allegations of corruption were hurled at Rajiv, the
government simply did not know how to cope.
Deserted
by the press that had glorified him for two-and-a-half
years, and abandoned by the middle class, Rajiv went back
to his mother's people and asked them for advice. From
then on, he ceased to be his own man and fell back on
such Indira-strategems as the claim that all opposition
to the prime minister was, by definition, foreign inspired.
Just
as his mother invoked the foreign hand, Rajiv quoted the
destabilisation theory. Far from trying to win back support
of the press, he opted for pressure tactics: raids on
The Indian Express and an ultimately abortive Defamation
Bill.
That
there would be no happy ending was inevitable. The prime
minister who could do no wrong for the first half of his
term, could do nothing right for the next two years. Worse
still, he never again seemed like the Rajiv of old. He
became an imperious, aloof figure who tried hard to bluster
that he was in control of events while actually being
swept away by forces he could not handle. When he lost
in 1989, some were sad but nobody was really surprised.
And
here's the final irony. Rajiv spent all of 1990 trying
to work out where he had gone wrong. He recognised that
neither approach -- the public school solutions of 1984-87
or the hardline of 1987-89 -- would be successful if he
ever came back to power. For the first half of 1991 he
spent his time with position papers and research back-up.
If he came back, he said, he would get it right.
And
then, just as it was all on the verge of coming together
again, it fell apart forever.
Vir
Sanghvi
is editor, The Hindustan Times
P.V.
NARASIMHA RAO
Born 1901: Indira
Gandhi's trusted lieutenant will be remembered for large-scale
economic liberalization he initiated in 1991. Though always
more comfortable in the role of foreign minister, this
scholar who became prime minister faded at the end of
his term in 1996. So did reforms.
|
|